Current forecasts from meteorological models point to a daytime high of 23–25°C in Ankara on September 19, after a period of rain and thunderstorms on the 17th–18th that has kept recent readings suppressed. Clearing skies and building high pressure are expected to allow greater solar heating under light winds, consistent with typical early-autumn continental conditions at the city’s elevation. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, producing the tight market clustering at 24°C (38.5% implied probability), 23°C (35%), and 25°C (24.5%). Updated runs from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service or ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely determine whether the peak edges higher or stays capped by residual moisture.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on September 19?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 19?
24°C 46%
23°C 35%
25°C 25%
21°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 19, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
11%
22°C
13%
23°C
35%
24°C
39%
25°C
25%
26°C
7%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 46%
23°C 35%
25°C 25%
21°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 19, 2026
19°C or below
$71 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
4%
21°C
$0 Vol.
11%
22°C
$12 Vol.
13%
23°C
$17 Vol.
35%
24°C
$23 Vol.
39%
25°C
$19 Vol.
25%
26°C
$42 Vol.
7%
27°C
$55 Vol.
1%
28°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$261 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models point to a daytime high of 23–25°C in Ankara on September 19, after a period of rain and thunderstorms on the 17th–18th that has kept recent readings suppressed. Clearing skies and building high pressure are expected to allow greater solar heating under light winds, consistent with typical early-autumn continental conditions at the city’s elevation. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, producing the tight market clustering at 24°C (38.5% implied probability), 23°C (35%), and 25°C (24.5%). Updated runs from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service or ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely determine whether the peak edges higher or stays capped by residual moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$554End Date
Sep 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models point to a daytime high of 23–25°C in Ankara on September 19, after a period of rain and thunderstorms on the 17th–18th that has kept recent readings suppressed. Clearing skies and building high pressure are expected to allow greater solar heating under light winds, consistent with typical early-autumn continental conditions at the city’s elevation. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, producing the tight market clustering at 24°C (38.5% implied probability), 23°C (35%), and 25°C (24.5%). Updated runs from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service or ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely determine whether the peak edges higher or stays capped by residual moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$554End Date
Sep 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models point to a daytime high of 23–25°C in Ankara on September 19, after a period of rain and thunderstorms on the 17th–18th that has kept recent readings suppressed. Clearing skies and building high pressure are expected to allow greater solar heating under light winds, consistent with typical early-autumn continental conditions at the city’s elevation. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, producing the tight market clustering at 24°C (38.5% implied probability), 23°C (35%), and 25°C (24.5%). Updated runs from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service or ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely determine whether the peak edges higher or stays capped by residual moisture.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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