Incoming cold air advection from the north, combined with an approaching precipitation system, is the main driver behind the closely matched market odds clustered around 21–26°C for Wuhan's September 17 high. This pattern, linked to Huaxi autumn rain dynamics, will increase cloud cover, trigger light to moderate rainfall, and enhance northerly winds, limiting daytime solar heating and producing a sharp 8–10°C drop from recent mid-30°C readings. Official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory emphasize a maximum near 22°C under overcast, breezy conditions, though minor variations in rain timing or front speed could shift the peak by a degree or two. Traders appear to weigh model consensus against historical September variability in the Yangtze River valley, where such cool outbreaks are typical but intensity can differ.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 17?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 17?
22°C 29%
21°C 24%
23°C 23%
24°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
20°C or below
12%
21°C
24%
22°C
29%
23°C
23%
24°C
13%
25°C
10%
26°C
4%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
22°C 29%
21°C 24%
23°C 23%
24°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
20°C or below
$652 Vol.
12%
21°C
$63 Vol.
24%
22°C
$172 Vol.
29%
23°C
$0 Vol.
23%
24°C
$5 Vol.
13%
25°C
$0 Vol.
10%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$81 Vol.
3%
29°C
$81 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$81 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Incoming cold air advection from the north, combined with an approaching precipitation system, is the main driver behind the closely matched market odds clustered around 21–26°C for Wuhan's September 17 high. This pattern, linked to Huaxi autumn rain dynamics, will increase cloud cover, trigger light to moderate rainfall, and enhance northerly winds, limiting daytime solar heating and producing a sharp 8–10°C drop from recent mid-30°C readings. Official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory emphasize a maximum near 22°C under overcast, breezy conditions, though minor variations in rain timing or front speed could shift the peak by a degree or two. Traders appear to weigh model consensus against historical September variability in the Yangtze River valley, where such cool outbreaks are typical but intensity can differ.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,105End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Incoming cold air advection from the north, combined with an approaching precipitation system, is the main driver behind the closely matched market odds clustered around 21–26°C for Wuhan's September 17 high. This pattern, linked to Huaxi autumn rain dynamics, will increase cloud cover, trigger light to moderate rainfall, and enhance northerly winds, limiting daytime solar heating and producing a sharp 8–10°C drop from recent mid-30°C readings. Official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory emphasize a maximum near 22°C under overcast, breezy conditions, though minor variations in rain timing or front speed could shift the peak by a degree or two. Traders appear to weigh model consensus against historical September variability in the Yangtze River valley, where such cool outbreaks are typical but intensity can differ.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,105End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incoming cold air advection from the north, combined with an approaching precipitation system, is the main driver behind the closely matched market odds clustered around 21–26°C for Wuhan's September 17 high. This pattern, linked to Huaxi autumn rain dynamics, will increase cloud cover, trigger light to moderate rainfall, and enhance northerly winds, limiting daytime solar heating and producing a sharp 8–10°C drop from recent mid-30°C readings. Official forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory emphasize a maximum near 22°C under overcast, breezy conditions, though minor variations in rain timing or front speed could shift the peak by a degree or two. Traders appear to weigh model consensus against historical September variability in the Yangtze River valley, where such cool outbreaks are typical but intensity can differ.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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