Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration project a daily high of 31–32°C in Shenzhen on September 15, with thunderstorms transitioning to cloudy skies and light variable winds under stable high pressure near 1008–1015 hPa. High humidity near 80% and scattered precipitation will limit solar heating and evaporative cooling, keeping the peak narrowly bounded. Subtropical monsoon patterns and regional sea-surface temperatures around 28–29°C provide the baseline warmth typical for mid-September, when climatological highs average near 31°C. Minor differences between 31°C and 32°C hinge on exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity, which can suppress afternoon maxima by 1–2°C if convection develops earlier than expected. Trader consensus reflects this tight range, with 31°C and 32°C outcomes capturing over 65% of implied probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 15?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 15?
31°C 35%
32°C 32%
33°C 15%
30°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 15, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
13%
31°C
35%
32°C
32%
33°C
15%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 35%
32°C 32%
33°C 15%
30°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 15, 2026
26°C or below
$6 Vol.
1%
27°C
$10 Vol.
1%
28°C
$499 Vol.
2%
29°C
$216 Vol.
4%
30°C
$209 Vol.
13%
31°C
$97 Vol.
35%
32°C
$1,152 Vol.
32%
33°C
$411 Vol.
15%
34°C
$275 Vol.
6%
35°C
$36 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$16 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration project a daily high of 31–32°C in Shenzhen on September 15, with thunderstorms transitioning to cloudy skies and light variable winds under stable high pressure near 1008–1015 hPa. High humidity near 80% and scattered precipitation will limit solar heating and evaporative cooling, keeping the peak narrowly bounded. Subtropical monsoon patterns and regional sea-surface temperatures around 28–29°C provide the baseline warmth typical for mid-September, when climatological highs average near 31°C. Minor differences between 31°C and 32°C hinge on exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity, which can suppress afternoon maxima by 1–2°C if convection develops earlier than expected. Trader consensus reflects this tight range, with 31°C and 32°C outcomes capturing over 65% of implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Volume
$2,927End Date
Sep 15, 2026Market Opened
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration project a daily high of 31–32°C in Shenzhen on September 15, with thunderstorms transitioning to cloudy skies and light variable winds under stable high pressure near 1008–1015 hPa. High humidity near 80% and scattered precipitation will limit solar heating and evaporative cooling, keeping the peak narrowly bounded. Subtropical monsoon patterns and regional sea-surface temperatures around 28–29°C provide the baseline warmth typical for mid-September, when climatological highs average near 31°C. Minor differences between 31°C and 32°C hinge on exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity, which can suppress afternoon maxima by 1–2°C if convection develops earlier than expected. Trader consensus reflects this tight range, with 31°C and 32°C outcomes capturing over 65% of implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,927End Date
Sep 15, 2026Market Opened
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration project a daily high of 31–32°C in Shenzhen on September 15, with thunderstorms transitioning to cloudy skies and light variable winds under stable high pressure near 1008–1015 hPa. High humidity near 80% and scattered precipitation will limit solar heating and evaporative cooling, keeping the peak narrowly bounded. Subtropical monsoon patterns and regional sea-surface temperatures around 28–29°C provide the baseline warmth typical for mid-September, when climatological highs average near 31°C. Minor differences between 31°C and 32°C hinge on exact cloud timing and rainfall intensity, which can suppress afternoon maxima by 1–2°C if convection develops earlier than expected. Trader consensus reflects this tight range, with 31°C and 32°C outcomes capturing over 65% of implied probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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