**Latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS model consensus position Dallas for a high near 100–101°F on September 13 under building high pressure, clear skies, and southerly flow.** Persistent ridging has maintained triple-digit heat indices across North Texas, with minimal overnight cooling and dew points supporting efficient daytime warming. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting on the 100–101°F bin at 63.5 percent, while the 26.5 percent on 98–99°F reflects minor ensemble spread and potential for slight under-forecasting if boundary-layer mixing strengthens. Historical September averages near 90°F underscore the anomalous warmth, though no fronts or moisture intrusions are expected to alter the outcome before resolution. Traders are monitoring the next NWS update and morning model runs for any last adjustments to maximum temperature guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on September 13?
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 13?
100-101°F 64%
98-99°F 28%
102-103°F 7%
96-97°F 3%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
28%
100-101°F
64%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
2%
108°F or higher
2%
100-101°F 64%
98-99°F 28%
102-103°F 7%
96-97°F 3%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
89°F or below
$103 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$128 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$50 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$34 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$54 Vol.
3%
98-99°F
$2,896 Vol.
28%
100-101°F
$993 Vol.
64%
102-103°F
$171 Vol.
7%
104-105°F
$75 Vol.
3%
106-107°F
$61 Vol.
2%
108°F or higher
$218 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS model consensus position Dallas for a high near 100–101°F on September 13 under building high pressure, clear skies, and southerly flow.** Persistent ridging has maintained triple-digit heat indices across North Texas, with minimal overnight cooling and dew points supporting efficient daytime warming. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting on the 100–101°F bin at 63.5 percent, while the 26.5 percent on 98–99°F reflects minor ensemble spread and potential for slight under-forecasting if boundary-layer mixing strengthens. Historical September averages near 90°F underscore the anomalous warmth, though no fronts or moisture intrusions are expected to alter the outcome before resolution. Traders are monitoring the next NWS update and morning model runs for any last adjustments to maximum temperature guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,782End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS model consensus position Dallas for a high near 100–101°F on September 13 under building high pressure, clear skies, and southerly flow.** Persistent ridging has maintained triple-digit heat indices across North Texas, with minimal overnight cooling and dew points supporting efficient daytime warming. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting on the 100–101°F bin at 63.5 percent, while the 26.5 percent on 98–99°F reflects minor ensemble spread and potential for slight under-forecasting if boundary-layer mixing strengthens. Historical September averages near 90°F underscore the anomalous warmth, though no fronts or moisture intrusions are expected to alter the outcome before resolution. Traders are monitoring the next NWS update and morning model runs for any last adjustments to maximum temperature guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,782End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS model consensus position Dallas for a high near 100–101°F on September 13 under building high pressure, clear skies, and southerly flow.** Persistent ridging has maintained triple-digit heat indices across North Texas, with minimal overnight cooling and dew points supporting efficient daytime warming. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting on the 100–101°F bin at 63.5 percent, while the 26.5 percent on 98–99°F reflects minor ensemble spread and potential for slight under-forecasting if boundary-layer mixing strengthens. Historical September averages near 90°F underscore the anomalous warmth, though no fronts or moisture intrusions are expected to alter the outcome before resolution. Traders are monitoring the next NWS update and morning model runs for any last adjustments to maximum temperature guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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