**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 13, 2026, centers on the 78–79°F bin (59.5% implied probability) and 80–81°F bin (26.0%), reflecting consensus forecasts from official and private sources for a high in the upper 70s to low 80s.** Morning marine layer and low clouds, driven by onshore southwest flow typical of coastal Southern California in mid-September, are limiting rapid warming, with clearing expected later in the day under partly cloudy skies and southwest winds around 10–15 mph. This setup aligns with the long-term average high of 76.4°F at Los Angeles International Airport while allowing modest exceedance if afternoon insolation strengthens. Recent observations show the city emerging from a hotter early-September period that included a 99°F reading on the 9th, but current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate stabilization under the marine influence, keeping extremes below 82°F unlikely. Traders are weighting real-time forecast updates and early-day temperature trends heavily, as the resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 13?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 13?
78-79°F 60%
80-81°F 27%
76-77°F 10%
82-83°F 6%
NEW
$16,216 Vol.
NEW
$16,216 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
60%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 60%
80-81°F 27%
76-77°F 10%
82-83°F 6%
NEW
$16,216 Vol.
NEW
$16,216 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
67°F or below
$693 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$596 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$620 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$348 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$360 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$3,114 Vol.
10%
78-79°F
$3,992 Vol.
60%
80-81°F
$3,654 Vol.
27%
82-83°F
$1,194 Vol.
6%
84-85°F
$656 Vol.
2%
86°F or higher
$990 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 13, 2026, centers on the 78–79°F bin (59.5% implied probability) and 80–81°F bin (26.0%), reflecting consensus forecasts from official and private sources for a high in the upper 70s to low 80s.**
Morning marine layer and low clouds, driven by onshore southwest flow typical of coastal Southern California in mid-September, are limiting rapid warming, with clearing expected later in the day under partly cloudy skies and southwest winds around 10–15 mph. This setup aligns with the long-term average high of 76.4°F at Los Angeles International Airport while allowing modest exceedance if afternoon insolation strengthens. Recent observations show the city emerging from a hotter early-September period that included a 99°F reading on the 9th, but current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate stabilization under the marine influence, keeping extremes below 82°F unlikely.
Traders are weighting real-time forecast updates and early-day temperature trends heavily, as the resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$16,216End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 13, 2026, centers on the 78–79°F bin (59.5% implied probability) and 80–81°F bin (26.0%), reflecting consensus forecasts from official and private sources for a high in the upper 70s to low 80s.**
Morning marine layer and low clouds, driven by onshore southwest flow typical of coastal Southern California in mid-September, are limiting rapid warming, with clearing expected later in the day under partly cloudy skies and southwest winds around 10–15 mph. This setup aligns with the long-term average high of 76.4°F at Los Angeles International Airport while allowing modest exceedance if afternoon insolation strengthens. Recent observations show the city emerging from a hotter early-September period that included a 99°F reading on the 9th, but current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate stabilization under the marine influence, keeping extremes below 82°F unlikely.
Traders are weighting real-time forecast updates and early-day temperature trends heavily, as the resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,216End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 13, 2026, centers on the 78–79°F bin (59.5% implied probability) and 80–81°F bin (26.0%), reflecting consensus forecasts from official and private sources for a high in the upper 70s to low 80s.** Morning marine layer and low clouds, driven by onshore southwest flow typical of coastal Southern California in mid-September, are limiting rapid warming, with clearing expected later in the day under partly cloudy skies and southwest winds around 10–15 mph. This setup aligns with the long-term average high of 76.4°F at Los Angeles International Airport while allowing modest exceedance if afternoon insolation strengthens. Recent observations show the city emerging from a hotter early-September period that included a 99°F reading on the 9th, but current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate stabilization under the marine influence, keeping extremes below 82°F unlikely. Traders are weighting real-time forecast updates and early-day temperature trends heavily, as the resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions