Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City on September 14 centers on 25–27°C outcomes because climatological norms place overnight lows near 24–25°C during the peak rainy season, when persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit nighttime radiative cooling. Recent model guidance and current conditions around 25–28°C reflect typical steering patterns and moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, with light winds reducing mixing. Historical September data show rare drops below 23°C absent unusual cold surges, while 26°C leads as the most probable balance between frequent showers and baseline tropical warmth. Updated forecasts or clearer-sky breaks could shift probabilities toward the 27°C bin before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on September 14?
25°C 53%
26°C 42%
27°C 28%
28°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
8%
25°C
53%
26°C
42%
27°C
28%
28°C
15%
29°C or higher
14%
25°C 53%
26°C 42%
27°C 28%
28°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
19°C or below
$1,125 Vol.
1%
20°C
$1,125 Vol.
1%
21°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$0 Vol.
5%
24°C
$0 Vol.
8%
25°C
$35 Vol.
53%
26°C
$143 Vol.
42%
27°C
$0 Vol.
28%
28°C
$0 Vol.
15%
29°C or higher
$0 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City on September 14 centers on 25–27°C outcomes because climatological norms place overnight lows near 24–25°C during the peak rainy season, when persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit nighttime radiative cooling. Recent model guidance and current conditions around 25–28°C reflect typical steering patterns and moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, with light winds reducing mixing. Historical September data show rare drops below 23°C absent unusual cold surges, while 26°C leads as the most probable balance between frequent showers and baseline tropical warmth. Updated forecasts or clearer-sky breaks could shift probabilities toward the 27°C bin before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 8:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,478End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 8:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City on September 14 centers on 25–27°C outcomes because climatological norms place overnight lows near 24–25°C during the peak rainy season, when persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit nighttime radiative cooling. Recent model guidance and current conditions around 25–28°C reflect typical steering patterns and moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, with light winds reducing mixing. Historical September data show rare drops below 23°C absent unusual cold surges, while 26°C leads as the most probable balance between frequent showers and baseline tropical warmth. Updated forecasts or clearer-sky breaks could shift probabilities toward the 27°C bin before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,478End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 8:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Panama City on September 14 centers on 25–27°C outcomes because climatological norms place overnight lows near 24–25°C during the peak rainy season, when persistent cloud cover and high humidity limit nighttime radiative cooling. Recent model guidance and current conditions around 25–28°C reflect typical steering patterns and moisture from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, with light winds reducing mixing. Historical September data show rare drops below 23°C absent unusual cold surges, while 26°C leads as the most probable balance between frequent showers and baseline tropical warmth. Updated forecasts or clearer-sky breaks could shift probabilities toward the 27°C bin before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions