Recent National Weather Service and GFS model runs project a daily high of 79–83°F for Los Angeles on September 14, driven by onshore flow and a persistent marine layer that moderates coastal temperatures while limiting afternoon heating. This places the most likely outcomes in the 78–81°F range, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on 78–79°F. Typical September climatology shows an average high near 76°F, so current guidance reflects slightly above-normal warmth without strong offshore winds or clear-sky amplification that could push readings higher. Traders appear to discount outlier warmer scenarios given model consensus on light southwest winds and morning low clouds, with final resolution hinging on the exact peak recorded at official stations before evening cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 14?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 14?
78-79°F 45%
80-81°F 26%
76-77°F 16%
82-83°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
45%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 45%
80-81°F 26%
76-77°F 16%
82-83°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
67°F or below
$474 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$524 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$475 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$230 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$236 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$1,883 Vol.
16%
78-79°F
$1,772 Vol.
45%
80-81°F
$1,001 Vol.
26%
82-83°F
$316 Vol.
7%
84-85°F
$183 Vol.
1%
86°F or higher
$191 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and GFS model runs project a daily high of 79–83°F for Los Angeles on September 14, driven by onshore flow and a persistent marine layer that moderates coastal temperatures while limiting afternoon heating. This places the most likely outcomes in the 78–81°F range, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on 78–79°F. Typical September climatology shows an average high near 76°F, so current guidance reflects slightly above-normal warmth without strong offshore winds or clear-sky amplification that could push readings higher. Traders appear to discount outlier warmer scenarios given model consensus on light southwest winds and morning low clouds, with final resolution hinging on the exact peak recorded at official stations before evening cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$7,285End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and GFS model runs project a daily high of 79–83°F for Los Angeles on September 14, driven by onshore flow and a persistent marine layer that moderates coastal temperatures while limiting afternoon heating. This places the most likely outcomes in the 78–81°F range, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on 78–79°F. Typical September climatology shows an average high near 76°F, so current guidance reflects slightly above-normal warmth without strong offshore winds or clear-sky amplification that could push readings higher. Traders appear to discount outlier warmer scenarios given model consensus on light southwest winds and morning low clouds, with final resolution hinging on the exact peak recorded at official stations before evening cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,285End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 7:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and GFS model runs project a daily high of 79–83°F for Los Angeles on September 14, driven by onshore flow and a persistent marine layer that moderates coastal temperatures while limiting afternoon heating. This places the most likely outcomes in the 78–81°F range, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on 78–79°F. Typical September climatology shows an average high near 76°F, so current guidance reflects slightly above-normal warmth without strong offshore winds or clear-sky amplification that could push readings higher. Traders appear to discount outlier warmer scenarios given model consensus on light southwest winds and morning low clouds, with final resolution hinging on the exact peak recorded at official stations before evening cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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