Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen's September 14 maximum will likely fall in the low 30s°C amid subtropical late-summer conditions, with easterly flow, moderate humidity, and scattered convective activity expected to limit full solar heating. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31°C because small differences in the timing and coverage of afternoon thunderstorms or cloud build-up—common in the region—can shift the peak by 1°C either way. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, while resolution hinges on official China Meteorological Administration observations, typically at standard stations less affected by urban heat. Updated model runs and short-range guidance over the next 48 hours remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 14?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 14?
31°C 36%
32°C 27%
30°C 20%
33°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
7%
30°C
20%
31°C
36%
32°C
27%
33°C
11%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
6%
31°C 36%
32°C 27%
30°C 20%
33°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Sep 14, 2026
25°C or below
$125 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$117 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$113 Vol.
1%
28°C
$9 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
7%
30°C
$13 Vol.
20%
31°C
$525 Vol.
36%
32°C
$104 Vol.
27%
33°C
$6 Vol.
11%
34°C
$174 Vol.
5%
35°C or higher
$20 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen's September 14 maximum will likely fall in the low 30s°C amid subtropical late-summer conditions, with easterly flow, moderate humidity, and scattered convective activity expected to limit full solar heating. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31°C because small differences in the timing and coverage of afternoon thunderstorms or cloud build-up—common in the region—can shift the peak by 1°C either way. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, while resolution hinges on official China Meteorological Administration observations, typically at standard stations less affected by urban heat. Updated model runs and short-range guidance over the next 48 hours remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,206End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen's September 14 maximum will likely fall in the low 30s°C amid subtropical late-summer conditions, with easterly flow, moderate humidity, and scattered convective activity expected to limit full solar heating. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31°C because small differences in the timing and coverage of afternoon thunderstorms or cloud build-up—common in the region—can shift the peak by 1°C either way. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, while resolution hinges on official China Meteorological Administration observations, typically at standard stations less affected by urban heat. Updated model runs and short-range guidance over the next 48 hours remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,206End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shenzhen's September 14 maximum will likely fall in the low 30s°C amid subtropical late-summer conditions, with easterly flow, moderate humidity, and scattered convective activity expected to limit full solar heating. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 31°C because small differences in the timing and coverage of afternoon thunderstorms or cloud build-up—common in the region—can shift the peak by 1°C either way. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, while resolution hinges on official China Meteorological Administration observations, typically at standard stations less affected by urban heat. Updated model runs and short-range guidance over the next 48 hours remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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