**Forecast models and climatological data position 32°C as the most probable peak temperature for Kuala Lumpur on September 12, 2026, aligning with the market's 55% implied probability for that outcome.** September averages show daily highs of 31–33°C at official stations like Sultan Abdul Aziz Shah Airport, consistent with equatorial monsoon conditions and high humidity that moderates extremes. Current short-range guidance from multiple sources indicates a maximum near 31–33°C, with afternoon convection and cloud cover likely capping readings below 34°C on most runs. The 17.5% probability on 31°C and 22% on 33°C reflect minor model spread in timing of showers and steering winds, while probabilities below 30°C or above 34°C remain negligible given the narrow historical range and stable atmospheric setup. Updated observations through midday will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 12?
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 12?
32°C 56%
33°C 22%
31°C 17%
34°C 3%
NEW
$15,798 Vol.
NEW
$15,798 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
17%
32°C
56%
33°C
22%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 56%
33°C 22%
31°C 17%
34°C 3%
NEW
$15,798 Vol.
NEW
$15,798 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
26°C or below
$488 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$841 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$442 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,207 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,373 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,494 Vol.
17%
32°C
$2,353 Vol.
56%
33°C
$1,412 Vol.
22%
34°C
$1,186 Vol.
3%
35°C
$240 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$762 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and climatological data position 32°C as the most probable peak temperature for Kuala Lumpur on September 12, 2026, aligning with the market's 55% implied probability for that outcome.** September averages show daily highs of 31–33°C at official stations like Sultan Abdul Aziz Shah Airport, consistent with equatorial monsoon conditions and high humidity that moderates extremes. Current short-range guidance from multiple sources indicates a maximum near 31–33°C, with afternoon convection and cloud cover likely capping readings below 34°C on most runs. The 17.5% probability on 31°C and 22% on 33°C reflect minor model spread in timing of showers and steering winds, while probabilities below 30°C or above 34°C remain negligible given the narrow historical range and stable atmospheric setup. Updated observations through midday will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$15,798End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and climatological data position 32°C as the most probable peak temperature for Kuala Lumpur on September 12, 2026, aligning with the market's 55% implied probability for that outcome.** September averages show daily highs of 31–33°C at official stations like Sultan Abdul Aziz Shah Airport, consistent with equatorial monsoon conditions and high humidity that moderates extremes. Current short-range guidance from multiple sources indicates a maximum near 31–33°C, with afternoon convection and cloud cover likely capping readings below 34°C on most runs. The 17.5% probability on 31°C and 22% on 33°C reflect minor model spread in timing of showers and steering winds, while probabilities below 30°C or above 34°C remain negligible given the narrow historical range and stable atmospheric setup. Updated observations through midday will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,798End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and climatological data position 32°C as the most probable peak temperature for Kuala Lumpur on September 12, 2026, aligning with the market's 55% implied probability for that outcome.** September averages show daily highs of 31–33°C at official stations like Sultan Abdul Aziz Shah Airport, consistent with equatorial monsoon conditions and high humidity that moderates extremes. Current short-range guidance from multiple sources indicates a maximum near 31–33°C, with afternoon convection and cloud cover likely capping readings below 34°C on most runs. The 17.5% probability on 31°C and 22% on 33°C reflect minor model spread in timing of showers and steering winds, while probabilities below 30°C or above 34°C remain negligible given the narrow historical range and stable atmospheric setup. Updated observations through midday will refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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