Recent forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models point to a maximum temperature of 27–28°C in Incheon on September 17, driven by easterly flow under a stable high-pressure pattern with increasing cloud cover and no strong warm advection. Hourly guidance shows peaks near 27–28°C during afternoon hours amid partly to mostly cloudy skies, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September in the region. The market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C and 28°C reflects this model consensus, while lower probabilities for 26°C or below account for potential cooling from greater cloud cover or wind shifts. Updated KMA briefings and model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases that could shift implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 17?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 17?
27°C 49%
28°C 30%
26°C 18%
25°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
18%
27°C
49%
28°C
30%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 49%
28°C 30%
26°C 18%
25°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
22°C or below
$300 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$292 Vol.
1%
24°C
$342 Vol.
2%
25°C
$278 Vol.
4%
26°C
$462 Vol.
18%
27°C
$610 Vol.
49%
28°C
$1,073 Vol.
30%
29°C
$247 Vol.
2%
30°C
$62 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$290 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$293 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models point to a maximum temperature of 27–28°C in Incheon on September 17, driven by easterly flow under a stable high-pressure pattern with increasing cloud cover and no strong warm advection. Hourly guidance shows peaks near 27–28°C during afternoon hours amid partly to mostly cloudy skies, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September in the region. The market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C and 28°C reflects this model consensus, while lower probabilities for 26°C or below account for potential cooling from greater cloud cover or wind shifts. Updated KMA briefings and model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,250End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models point to a maximum temperature of 27–28°C in Incheon on September 17, driven by easterly flow under a stable high-pressure pattern with increasing cloud cover and no strong warm advection. Hourly guidance shows peaks near 27–28°C during afternoon hours amid partly to mostly cloudy skies, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September in the region. The market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C and 28°C reflects this model consensus, while lower probabilities for 26°C or below account for potential cooling from greater cloud cover or wind shifts. Updated KMA briefings and model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,250End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models point to a maximum temperature of 27–28°C in Incheon on September 17, driven by easterly flow under a stable high-pressure pattern with increasing cloud cover and no strong warm advection. Hourly guidance shows peaks near 27–28°C during afternoon hours amid partly to mostly cloudy skies, consistent with climatological norms for mid-September in the region. The market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C and 28°C reflects this model consensus, while lower probabilities for 26°C or below account for potential cooling from greater cloud cover or wind shifts. Updated KMA briefings and model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases that could shift implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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