Forecast models from the National Weather Service and GFS consensus indicate overnight lows for Los Angeles on September 17 will settle in the mid- to upper-60s°F, driven by persistent marine layer stratus, light onshore southwest winds near 5–10 mph, and high humidity around 70–85% that limits radiational cooling. This setup aligns with typical early-fall coastal climatology, where the Pacific high and sea surface temperatures near 68°F moderate extremes compared to inland valleys. Trader consensus clusters around 66–69°F bins because minor variations in fog timing or exact measurement site (such as LAX versus downtown) could shift the minimum by 1–2°F, while probabilities drop sharply below 60°F or above 70°F due to the absence of strong offshore flow or clear-sky conditions that would amplify cooling. Updated model runs overnight will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 17?
58-59°F 97%
60-61°F 48%
62-63°F 48%
56-57°F 12.6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
55°F or below
5%
56-57°F
13%
58-59°F
97%
60-61°F
48%
62-63°F
48%
64-65°F
48%
66-67°F
49%
68-69°F
47%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
<1%
58-59°F 97%
60-61°F 48%
62-63°F 48%
56-57°F 12.6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
55°F or below
$41 Vol.
5%
56-57°F
$180 Vol.
13%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
97%
60-61°F
$1 Vol.
48%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
48%
64-65°F
$8 Vol.
48%
66-67°F
$18 Vol.
49%
68-69°F
$287 Vol.
47%
70-71°F
$84 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
74°F or higher
$46 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and GFS consensus indicate overnight lows for Los Angeles on September 17 will settle in the mid- to upper-60s°F, driven by persistent marine layer stratus, light onshore southwest winds near 5–10 mph, and high humidity around 70–85% that limits radiational cooling. This setup aligns with typical early-fall coastal climatology, where the Pacific high and sea surface temperatures near 68°F moderate extremes compared to inland valleys. Trader consensus clusters around 66–69°F bins because minor variations in fog timing or exact measurement site (such as LAX versus downtown) could shift the minimum by 1–2°F, while probabilities drop sharply below 60°F or above 70°F due to the absence of strong offshore flow or clear-sky conditions that would amplify cooling. Updated model runs overnight will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$667End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and GFS consensus indicate overnight lows for Los Angeles on September 17 will settle in the mid- to upper-60s°F, driven by persistent marine layer stratus, light onshore southwest winds near 5–10 mph, and high humidity around 70–85% that limits radiational cooling. This setup aligns with typical early-fall coastal climatology, where the Pacific high and sea surface temperatures near 68°F moderate extremes compared to inland valleys. Trader consensus clusters around 66–69°F bins because minor variations in fog timing or exact measurement site (such as LAX versus downtown) could shift the minimum by 1–2°F, while probabilities drop sharply below 60°F or above 70°F due to the absence of strong offshore flow or clear-sky conditions that would amplify cooling. Updated model runs overnight will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$667End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 7:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and GFS consensus indicate overnight lows for Los Angeles on September 17 will settle in the mid- to upper-60s°F, driven by persistent marine layer stratus, light onshore southwest winds near 5–10 mph, and high humidity around 70–85% that limits radiational cooling. This setup aligns with typical early-fall coastal climatology, where the Pacific high and sea surface temperatures near 68°F moderate extremes compared to inland valleys. Trader consensus clusters around 66–69°F bins because minor variations in fog timing or exact measurement site (such as LAX versus downtown) could shift the minimum by 1–2°F, while probabilities drop sharply below 60°F or above 70°F due to the absence of strong offshore flow or clear-sky conditions that would amplify cooling. Updated model runs overnight will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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