Latest forecasts from multiple models project a daytime high of 31–33°C in Shenzhen on September 17 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions driven by easterly flow and moderate humidity around 60–70%. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 32°C (39.5%) and 31–33°C, reflecting typical mid-September climatology in the Pearl River Delta where subtropical high pressure supports daytime warming to these levels without extreme heat or heavy rain. Recent observations show stabilizing conditions after earlier showers, with limited model spread suggesting low volatility. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and real-time station data on the day will determine exact resolution near these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 17?
32°C 39%
31°C 25%
33°C 23%
29°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
12%
30°C
7%
31°C
25%
32°C
39%
33°C
23%
34°C
8%
35°C
3%
36°C
7%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 39%
31°C 25%
33°C 23%
29°C 12%
NEW
NEW
Sep 17, 2026
27°C or below
$96 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$63 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
12%
30°C
$5 Vol.
7%
31°C
$959 Vol.
25%
32°C
$426 Vol.
39%
33°C
$20 Vol.
23%
34°C
$10 Vol.
8%
35°C
$30 Vol.
3%
36°C
$0 Vol.
7%
37°C or higher
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from multiple models project a daytime high of 31–33°C in Shenzhen on September 17 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions driven by easterly flow and moderate humidity around 60–70%. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 32°C (39.5%) and 31–33°C, reflecting typical mid-September climatology in the Pearl River Delta where subtropical high pressure supports daytime warming to these levels without extreme heat or heavy rain. Recent observations show stabilizing conditions after earlier showers, with limited model spread suggesting low volatility. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and real-time station data on the day will determine exact resolution near these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,542End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from multiple models project a daytime high of 31–33°C in Shenzhen on September 17 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions driven by easterly flow and moderate humidity around 60–70%. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 32°C (39.5%) and 31–33°C, reflecting typical mid-September climatology in the Pearl River Delta where subtropical high pressure supports daytime warming to these levels without extreme heat or heavy rain. Recent observations show stabilizing conditions after earlier showers, with limited model spread suggesting low volatility. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and real-time station data on the day will determine exact resolution near these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,542End Date
Sep 17, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from multiple models project a daytime high of 31–33°C in Shenzhen on September 17 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions driven by easterly flow and moderate humidity around 60–70%. This aligns with the market's leading outcomes at 32°C (39.5%) and 31–33°C, reflecting typical mid-September climatology in the Pearl River Delta where subtropical high pressure supports daytime warming to these levels without extreme heat or heavy rain. Recent observations show stabilizing conditions after earlier showers, with limited model spread suggesting low volatility. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and real-time station data on the day will determine exact resolution near these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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