Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on September 19 project a sunny, hot day with a high near 99–100°F driven by southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, consistent with the ongoing late-summer heat wave that has produced multiple 100°F+ readings earlier in the month. These conditions support market-implied probabilities clustering on 96–99°F bins, though slight downward weighting on the highest outcomes reflects typical model spread in afternoon peak timing and localized urban heat effects versus airport observations. Historical September 19 averages near 89°F underscore the anomalous warmth, while upcoming NWS model runs and afternoon observations will determine the precise maximum before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on September 19?
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 19?
96-97°F 55%
98-99°F 39%
100-101°F 19%
94-95°F 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 19, 2026
89°F or below
5%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
11%
94-95°F
13%
96-97°F
55%
98-99°F
24%
100-101°F
19%
102-103°F
11%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
5%
108°F or higher
5%
96-97°F 55%
98-99°F 39%
100-101°F 19%
94-95°F 13%
NEW
NEW
Sep 19, 2026
89°F or below
$0 Vol.
5%
90-91°F
$0 Vol.
7%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
11%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
13%
96-97°F
$131 Vol.
55%
98-99°F
$12 Vol.
24%
100-101°F
$0 Vol.
19%
102-103°F
$0 Vol.
11%
104-105°F
$0 Vol.
6%
106-107°F
$0 Vol.
5%
108°F or higher
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on September 19 project a sunny, hot day with a high near 99–100°F driven by southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, consistent with the ongoing late-summer heat wave that has produced multiple 100°F+ readings earlier in the month. These conditions support market-implied probabilities clustering on 96–99°F bins, though slight downward weighting on the highest outcomes reflects typical model spread in afternoon peak timing and localized urban heat effects versus airport observations. Historical September 19 averages near 89°F underscore the anomalous warmth, while upcoming NWS model runs and afternoon observations will determine the precise maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$131End Date
Sep 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on September 19 project a sunny, hot day with a high near 99–100°F driven by southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, consistent with the ongoing late-summer heat wave that has produced multiple 100°F+ readings earlier in the month. These conditions support market-implied probabilities clustering on 96–99°F bins, though slight downward weighting on the highest outcomes reflects typical model spread in afternoon peak timing and localized urban heat effects versus airport observations. Historical September 19 averages near 89°F underscore the anomalous warmth, while upcoming NWS model runs and afternoon observations will determine the precise maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$131End Date
Sep 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on September 19 project a sunny, hot day with a high near 99–100°F driven by southerly flow and minimal cloud cover, consistent with the ongoing late-summer heat wave that has produced multiple 100°F+ readings earlier in the month. These conditions support market-implied probabilities clustering on 96–99°F bins, though slight downward weighting on the highest outcomes reflects typical model spread in afternoon peak timing and localized urban heat effects versus airport observations. Historical September 19 averages near 89°F underscore the anomalous warmth, while upcoming NWS model runs and afternoon observations will determine the precise maximum before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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