Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Manila will see scattered thunderstorms and high humidity on September 19, keeping maximum temperatures in the low 30s Celsius as afternoon convection and cloud cover limit solar heating. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 31–33°C, where traders weigh the balance between typical wet-season cooling from rain and any brief clear periods allowing brief spikes. PAGASA outlooks note near- to above-average temperatures amid enhanced southwest monsoon activity and an ongoing El Niño, though localized storm timing introduces uncertainty that keeps probabilities distributed across several outcomes rather than favoring extremes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on September 19?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 19?
33°C 26%
32°C 26%
31°C 24%
34°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Sep 19, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
16%
30°C
15%
31°C
24%
32°C
26%
33°C
26%
34°C
21%
35°C
17%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 26%
32°C 26%
31°C 24%
34°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Sep 19, 2026
28°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
16%
30°C
$18 Vol.
15%
31°C
$0 Vol.
24%
32°C
$0 Vol.
26%
33°C
$0 Vol.
26%
34°C
$0 Vol.
21%
35°C
$0 Vol.
17%
36°C
$0 Vol.
2%
37°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$181 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Manila will see scattered thunderstorms and high humidity on September 19, keeping maximum temperatures in the low 30s Celsius as afternoon convection and cloud cover limit solar heating. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 31–33°C, where traders weigh the balance between typical wet-season cooling from rain and any brief clear periods allowing brief spikes. PAGASA outlooks note near- to above-average temperatures amid enhanced southwest monsoon activity and an ongoing El Niño, though localized storm timing introduces uncertainty that keeps probabilities distributed across several outcomes rather than favoring extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$310End Date
Sep 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Manila will see scattered thunderstorms and high humidity on September 19, keeping maximum temperatures in the low 30s Celsius as afternoon convection and cloud cover limit solar heating. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 31–33°C, where traders weigh the balance between typical wet-season cooling from rain and any brief clear periods allowing brief spikes. PAGASA outlooks note near- to above-average temperatures amid enhanced southwest monsoon activity and an ongoing El Niño, though localized storm timing introduces uncertainty that keeps probabilities distributed across several outcomes rather than favoring extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$310End Date
Sep 19, 2026Market Opened
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Manila will see scattered thunderstorms and high humidity on September 19, keeping maximum temperatures in the low 30s Celsius as afternoon convection and cloud cover limit solar heating. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 31–33°C, where traders weigh the balance between typical wet-season cooling from rain and any brief clear periods allowing brief spikes. PAGASA outlooks note near- to above-average temperatures amid enhanced southwest monsoon activity and an ongoing El Niño, though localized storm timing introduces uncertainty that keeps probabilities distributed across several outcomes rather than favoring extremes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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