Recent numerical weather models, including those from the Israeli Meteorological Service and global ensembles, indicate Tel Aviv will see clear to partly cloudy skies and northwest winds of 5–12 mph on September 20, supporting afternoon highs of 29–30°C. Market-implied odds favor 31°C at 62.5% because traders incorporate typical coastal model bias and the potential for brief peaks above forecast values in urban heat-island conditions. Recent days have recorded maxima near 30–32°C under similar stable high-pressure setups, with no major synoptic changes expected overnight. Official observations from Tel Aviv stations will determine the daily maximum, and updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data point for any probability shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 20?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 20?
31°C 63%
30°C 36%
32°C 5%
29°C 1.0%
NEW
$10,451 Vol.
NEW
$10,451 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
36%
31°C
63%
32°C
5%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 63%
30°C 36%
32°C 5%
29°C 1.0%
NEW
$10,451 Vol.
NEW
$10,451 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
27°C or below
$41 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,157 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$768 Vol.
1%
30°C
$2,306 Vol.
36%
31°C
$2,173 Vol.
63%
32°C
$1,562 Vol.
5%
33°C
$713 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$576 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$551 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$402 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$202 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather models, including those from the Israeli Meteorological Service and global ensembles, indicate Tel Aviv will see clear to partly cloudy skies and northwest winds of 5–12 mph on September 20, supporting afternoon highs of 29–30°C. Market-implied odds favor 31°C at 62.5% because traders incorporate typical coastal model bias and the potential for brief peaks above forecast values in urban heat-island conditions. Recent days have recorded maxima near 30–32°C under similar stable high-pressure setups, with no major synoptic changes expected overnight. Official observations from Tel Aviv stations will determine the daily maximum, and updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data point for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$10,451End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather models, including those from the Israeli Meteorological Service and global ensembles, indicate Tel Aviv will see clear to partly cloudy skies and northwest winds of 5–12 mph on September 20, supporting afternoon highs of 29–30°C. Market-implied odds favor 31°C at 62.5% because traders incorporate typical coastal model bias and the potential for brief peaks above forecast values in urban heat-island conditions. Recent days have recorded maxima near 30–32°C under similar stable high-pressure setups, with no major synoptic changes expected overnight. Official observations from Tel Aviv stations will determine the daily maximum, and updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data point for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,451End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather models, including those from the Israeli Meteorological Service and global ensembles, indicate Tel Aviv will see clear to partly cloudy skies and northwest winds of 5–12 mph on September 20, supporting afternoon highs of 29–30°C. Market-implied odds favor 31°C at 62.5% because traders incorporate typical coastal model bias and the potential for brief peaks above forecast values in urban heat-island conditions. Recent days have recorded maxima near 30–32°C under similar stable high-pressure setups, with no major synoptic changes expected overnight. Official observations from Tel Aviv stations will determine the daily maximum, and updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data point for any probability shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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