Recent atmospheric conditions in Panama City featured persistently high humidity with dew points near 24–25°C, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under typical September convective regimes. Light winds and variable cloud cover from scattered showers further suppressed temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation, keeping overnight minima elevated compared to drier historical analogs. Official station data from monitoring agencies hinge on the precise timing of any pre-dawn clearing, creating the tight 25–26°C spread in trader consensus; even modest shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed can swing the recorded low by 1°C. Upcoming verification against verified observations will resolve the narrow gap.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on September 21?
26°C 99.0%
23°C 1.0%
24°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
$1,245 Vol.
$1,245 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 99.0%
23°C 1.0%
24°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
$1,245 Vol.
$1,245 Vol.
Sep 21, 2026
20°C or below
$565 Vol.
No
21°C
$416 Vol.
No
22°C
$31 Vol.
No
23°C
$0 Vol.
No
24°C
$16 Vol.
No
25°C
$31 Vol.
No
26°C
$104 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$37 Vol.
No
28°C
$15 Vol.
No
29°C
$15 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$15 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric conditions in Panama City featured persistently high humidity with dew points near 24–25°C, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under typical September convective regimes. Light winds and variable cloud cover from scattered showers further suppressed temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation, keeping overnight minima elevated compared to drier historical analogs. Official station data from monitoring agencies hinge on the precise timing of any pre-dawn clearing, creating the tight 25–26°C spread in trader consensus; even modest shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed can swing the recorded low by 1°C. Upcoming verification against verified observations will resolve the narrow gap.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 19, 2026, 8:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,245End Date
Sep 21, 2026Market Opened
Sep 19, 2026, 8:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric conditions in Panama City featured persistently high humidity with dew points near 24–25°C, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under typical September convective regimes. Light winds and variable cloud cover from scattered showers further suppressed temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation, keeping overnight minima elevated compared to drier historical analogs. Official station data from monitoring agencies hinge on the precise timing of any pre-dawn clearing, creating the tight 25–26°C spread in trader consensus; even modest shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed can swing the recorded low by 1°C. Upcoming verification against verified observations will resolve the narrow gap.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,245End Date
Sep 21, 2026Market Opened
Sep 19, 2026, 8:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent atmospheric conditions in Panama City featured persistently high humidity with dew points near 24–25°C, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under typical September convective regimes. Light winds and variable cloud cover from scattered showers further suppressed temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation, keeping overnight minima elevated compared to drier historical analogs. Official station data from monitoring agencies hinge on the precise timing of any pre-dawn clearing, creating the tight 25–26°C spread in trader consensus; even modest shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed can swing the recorded low by 1°C. Upcoming verification against verified observations will resolve the narrow gap.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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