**Northeast winds and persistent cloud cover from a stable high-pressure pattern are keeping New York City temperatures well below seasonal averages, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for a Wednesday high near 65–66°F under mostly cloudy skies.** Model consensus from recent runs shows minimal warming potential through the 23rd as cool air continues advecting from the north, with low-level northeasterly flow and gusts to 25–30 mph limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s strong consensus around 66–67°F while capping upside risk above 69°F and supporting modest probability for 64–65°F if clouds thicken further. Updated model guidance and NWS briefings through Tuesday evening will be the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on September 23?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 23?
66-67°F 54%
62-63°F 28%
68-69°F 27%
64-65°F 21%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
57°F or below
18%
58-59°F
8%
60-61°F
14%
62-63°F
28%
64-65°F
21%
66-67°F
54%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
1%
66-67°F 54%
62-63°F 28%
68-69°F 27%
64-65°F 21%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
57°F or below
$0 Vol.
18%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
8%
60-61°F
$5 Vol.
14%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
28%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
21%
66-67°F
$86 Vol.
54%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
27%
70-71°F
$7 Vol.
9%
72-73°F
$2 Vol.
14%
74-75°F
$22 Vol.
1%
76°F or higher
$22 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northeast winds and persistent cloud cover from a stable high-pressure pattern are keeping New York City temperatures well below seasonal averages, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for a Wednesday high near 65–66°F under mostly cloudy skies.** Model consensus from recent runs shows minimal warming potential through the 23rd as cool air continues advecting from the north, with low-level northeasterly flow and gusts to 25–30 mph limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s strong consensus around 66–67°F while capping upside risk above 69°F and supporting modest probability for 64–65°F if clouds thicken further. Updated model guidance and NWS briefings through Tuesday evening will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volume
$144End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 3:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northeast winds and persistent cloud cover from a stable high-pressure pattern are keeping New York City temperatures well below seasonal averages, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for a Wednesday high near 65–66°F under mostly cloudy skies.** Model consensus from recent runs shows minimal warming potential through the 23rd as cool air continues advecting from the north, with low-level northeasterly flow and gusts to 25–30 mph limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s strong consensus around 66–67°F while capping upside risk above 69°F and supporting modest probability for 64–65°F if clouds thicken further. Updated model guidance and NWS briefings through Tuesday evening will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$144End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 3:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Northeast winds and persistent cloud cover from a stable high-pressure pattern are keeping New York City temperatures well below seasonal averages, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for a Wednesday high near 65–66°F under mostly cloudy skies.** Model consensus from recent runs shows minimal warming potential through the 23rd as cool air continues advecting from the north, with low-level northeasterly flow and gusts to 25–30 mph limiting daytime heating. This aligns with the market’s strong consensus around 66–67°F while capping upside risk above 69°F and supporting modest probability for 64–65°F if clouds thicken further. Updated model guidance and NWS briefings through Tuesday evening will be the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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