The near-even split between 30°C or higher (48.5%) and 20°C or below (48.0%) highlights model uncertainty in Panama City's near-term temperature range amid peak rainy-season conditions. Variable ITCZ positioning, fluctuating trade-wind strength, and cloud-cover changes can compress or expand the diurnal range by several degrees, while recent sea-surface temperature anomalies in the eastern Pacific add modest variability to overnight minima. Historical September lows average near 24°C with limited extremes, yet short-range ensemble forecasts from agencies like NOAA show divergence on moisture advection and localized convection over the next 48 hours. Updated model runs and surface observations expected within the day will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the September 23 low.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Panama City on September 23?
Lowest temperature in Panama City on September 23?
20°C or below 98%
30°C or higher 98%
26°C 48%
21°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
20°C or below
98%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
40%
24°C
20%
25°C
21%
26°C
25%
27°C
21%
28°C
21%
29°C
40%
30°C or higher
98%
20°C or below 98%
30°C or higher 98%
26°C 48%
21°C 40%
NEW
NEW
Sep 23, 2026
20°C or below
$10 Vol.
98%
21°C
$10 Vol.
40%
22°C
$10 Vol.
40%
23°C
$31 Vol.
40%
24°C
$0 Vol.
20%
25°C
$0 Vol.
21%
26°C
$10 Vol.
25%
27°C
$0 Vol.
21%
28°C
$0 Vol.
21%
29°C
$10 Vol.
40%
30°C or higher
$10 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The near-even split between 30°C or higher (48.5%) and 20°C or below (48.0%) highlights model uncertainty in Panama City's near-term temperature range amid peak rainy-season conditions. Variable ITCZ positioning, fluctuating trade-wind strength, and cloud-cover changes can compress or expand the diurnal range by several degrees, while recent sea-surface temperature anomalies in the eastern Pacific add modest variability to overnight minima. Historical September lows average near 24°C with limited extremes, yet short-range ensemble forecasts from agencies like NOAA show divergence on moisture advection and localized convection over the next 48 hours. Updated model runs and surface observations expected within the day will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the September 23 low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$91End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The near-even split between 30°C or higher (48.5%) and 20°C or below (48.0%) highlights model uncertainty in Panama City's near-term temperature range amid peak rainy-season conditions. Variable ITCZ positioning, fluctuating trade-wind strength, and cloud-cover changes can compress or expand the diurnal range by several degrees, while recent sea-surface temperature anomalies in the eastern Pacific add modest variability to overnight minima. Historical September lows average near 24°C with limited extremes, yet short-range ensemble forecasts from agencies like NOAA show divergence on moisture advection and localized convection over the next 48 hours. Updated model runs and surface observations expected within the day will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the September 23 low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$91End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The near-even split between 30°C or higher (48.5%) and 20°C or below (48.0%) highlights model uncertainty in Panama City's near-term temperature range amid peak rainy-season conditions. Variable ITCZ positioning, fluctuating trade-wind strength, and cloud-cover changes can compress or expand the diurnal range by several degrees, while recent sea-surface temperature anomalies in the eastern Pacific add modest variability to overnight minima. Historical September lows average near 24°C with limited extremes, yet short-range ensemble forecasts from agencies like NOAA show divergence on moisture advection and localized convection over the next 48 hours. Updated model runs and surface observations expected within the day will likely sharpen resolution criteria for the September 23 low.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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