Recent forecast consensus from multiple models positions 23–25°C as the most likely maximum temperature range for Buenos Aires on September 24, driven by northerly winds advecting milder air under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. Official guidance, including runs showing highs near 22–24°C, supports this outlook amid typical late-spring transitional patterns in the region. The market's heavy weighting toward 25°C (46% implied probability) reflects traders incorporating slight upward model revisions and historical variability in daily maxima, while lower probabilities for 26°C+ or sub-23°C outcomes align with the narrow uncertainty band in short-range predictions. New model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the highest recorded temperature.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 24?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 24?
25°C 45%
26°C 25%
24°C 22%
23°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
18°C or below
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
10%
24°C
22%
25°C
45%
26°C
25%
27°C
7%
28°C or higher
4%
25°C 45%
26°C 25%
24°C 22%
23°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 24, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C
$10 Vol.
2%
20°C
$10 Vol.
2%
21°C
$7 Vol.
3%
22°C
$0 Vol.
5%
23°C
$6 Vol.
10%
24°C
$0 Vol.
22%
25°C
$10 Vol.
45%
26°C
$0 Vol.
25%
27°C
$40 Vol.
7%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple models positions 23–25°C as the most likely maximum temperature range for Buenos Aires on September 24, driven by northerly winds advecting milder air under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. Official guidance, including runs showing highs near 22–24°C, supports this outlook amid typical late-spring transitional patterns in the region. The market's heavy weighting toward 25°C (46% implied probability) reflects traders incorporating slight upward model revisions and historical variability in daily maxima, while lower probabilities for 26°C+ or sub-23°C outcomes align with the narrow uncertainty band in short-range predictions. New model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the highest recorded temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 22, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$82End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 8:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple models positions 23–25°C as the most likely maximum temperature range for Buenos Aires on September 24, driven by northerly winds advecting milder air under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. Official guidance, including runs showing highs near 22–24°C, supports this outlook amid typical late-spring transitional patterns in the region. The market's heavy weighting toward 25°C (46% implied probability) reflects traders incorporating slight upward model revisions and historical variability in daily maxima, while lower probabilities for 26°C+ or sub-23°C outcomes align with the narrow uncertainty band in short-range predictions. New model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the highest recorded temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$82End Date
Sep 24, 2026Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 8:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from multiple models positions 23–25°C as the most likely maximum temperature range for Buenos Aires on September 24, driven by northerly winds advecting milder air under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation risk. Official guidance, including runs showing highs near 22–24°C, supports this outlook amid typical late-spring transitional patterns in the region. The market's heavy weighting toward 25°C (46% implied probability) reflects traders incorporating slight upward model revisions and historical variability in daily maxima, while lower probabilities for 26°C+ or sub-23°C outcomes align with the narrow uncertainty band in short-range predictions. New model updates and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the highest recorded temperature.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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