Forecast models for coastal Jeddah project daily highs near 37–40 °C on July 24, consistent with typical July climatology of 36–39 °C moderated by Red Sea humidity and sea breezes. Recent observations show peaks reaching 40 °C, supporting the market’s elevated probabilities for 39 °C (22 %) and 40 °C (22 %). Key variables include steering winds that can suppress or enhance onshore flow, afternoon cloud cover that limits solar heating, and model spread in maximum temperature guidance, which widens uncertainty for extremes above 41 °C (33 %). Resolution hinges on official station readings, likely at King Abdulaziz International Airport, where small shifts in timing or local advection can alter the daily maximum by 1–2 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on July 24?
41°C or higher 35%
39°C 22%
40°C 20%
38°C 19%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
9%
36°C
3%
37°C
17%
38°C
19%
39°C
22%
40°C
23%
41°C or higher
35%
41°C or higher 35%
39°C 22%
40°C 20%
38°C 19%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
9%
36°C
3%
37°C
17%
38°C
19%
39°C
22%
40°C
23%
41°C or higher
35%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 22, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for coastal Jeddah project daily highs near 37–40 °C on July 24, consistent with typical July climatology of 36–39 °C moderated by Red Sea humidity and sea breezes. Recent observations show peaks reaching 40 °C, supporting the market’s elevated probabilities for 39 °C (22 %) and 40 °C (22 %). Key variables include steering winds that can suppress or enhance onshore flow, afternoon cloud cover that limits solar heating, and model spread in maximum temperature guidance, which widens uncertainty for extremes above 41 °C (33 %). Resolution hinges on official station readings, likely at King Abdulaziz International Airport, where small shifts in timing or local advection can alter the daily maximum by 1–2 °C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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