Traders see the 34°C and 35°C brackets as nearly equally likely for Karachi’s June 19 peak because recent Pakistan Meteorological Department observations and model guidance place daytime maxima in the mid-30s amid typical early-summer conditions. Persistent high humidity, light winds, and urban heat-island effects have kept recent daily highs between 33–36 °C, while the moderating Arabian Sea breeze and possible thin cloud cover introduce enough variability to split probability almost evenly. Official forecasts emphasize that small changes in insolation or sea-breeze timing can shift the recorded maximum by 1 °C, leaving both outcomes inside the narrow uncertainty range of current numerical weather prediction ensembles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on June 19?
Highest temperature in Karachi on June 19?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$29,297 Vol.
$29,297 Vol.
Jun 19, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$29,297 Vol.
$29,297 Vol.
Jun 19, 2026
29°C or below
$256 Vol.
No
30°C
$264 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,004 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,280 Vol.
No
33°C
$3,447 Vol.
No
34°C
$4,847 Vol.
No
35°C
$4,983 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$6,565 Vol.
No
37°C
$4,880 Vol.
No
38°C
$1,503 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$266 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 34°C and 35°C brackets as nearly equally likely for Karachi’s June 19 peak because recent Pakistan Meteorological Department observations and model guidance place daytime maxima in the mid-30s amid typical early-summer conditions. Persistent high humidity, light winds, and urban heat-island effects have kept recent daily highs between 33–36 °C, while the moderating Arabian Sea breeze and possible thin cloud cover introduce enough variability to split probability almost evenly. Official forecasts emphasize that small changes in insolation or sea-breeze timing can shift the recorded maximum by 1 °C, leaving both outcomes inside the narrow uncertainty range of current numerical weather prediction ensembles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 17, 2026, 2:51 AM ET
Volume
$29,297End Date
Jun 19, 2026Market Opened
Jun 17, 2026, 2:51 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 34°C and 35°C brackets as nearly equally likely for Karachi’s June 19 peak because recent Pakistan Meteorological Department observations and model guidance place daytime maxima in the mid-30s amid typical early-summer conditions. Persistent high humidity, light winds, and urban heat-island effects have kept recent daily highs between 33–36 °C, while the moderating Arabian Sea breeze and possible thin cloud cover introduce enough variability to split probability almost evenly. Official forecasts emphasize that small changes in insolation or sea-breeze timing can shift the recorded maximum by 1 °C, leaving both outcomes inside the narrow uncertainty range of current numerical weather prediction ensembles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,297End Date
Jun 19, 2026Market Opened
Jun 17, 2026, 2:51 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders see the 34°C and 35°C brackets as nearly equally likely for Karachi’s June 19 peak because recent Pakistan Meteorological Department observations and model guidance place daytime maxima in the mid-30s amid typical early-summer conditions. Persistent high humidity, light winds, and urban heat-island effects have kept recent daily highs between 33–36 °C, while the moderating Arabian Sea breeze and possible thin cloud cover introduce enough variability to split probability almost evenly. Official forecasts emphasize that small changes in insolation or sea-breeze timing can shift the recorded maximum by 1 °C, leaving both outcomes inside the narrow uncertainty range of current numerical weather prediction ensembles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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