Traders assign the highest implied probability (37.5%) to a 33°C high in Kuala Lumpur on July 15 because short-range forecasts and July climatology converge on daily maxima of 31–33°C amid typical Southwest Monsoon conditions. Official model guidance and historical averages near 32°C support this narrow band, with 32°C and 34°C each near 22% reflecting minor forecast spread and afternoon convection risks that can suppress peaks. Recent observations from comparable early-July days, including a confirmed 32°C reading on July 7, reinforce the central tendency while underscoring low odds for extremes below 30°C or above 35°C given stable humidity and limited variability in the current pattern. Updated model runs ahead of the date remain the key catalyst for any shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 15?
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 15?
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$52,644 Vol.
$52,644 Vol.
Jul 15, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$52,644 Vol.
$52,644 Vol.
Jul 15, 2026
26°C or below
$407 Vol.
No
27°C
$411 Vol.
No
28°C
$448 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,793 Vol.
No
30°C
$11,477 Vol.
No
31°C
$7,196 Vol.
No
32°C
$6,134 Vol.
No
33°C
$11,772 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$4,837 Vol.
No
35°C
$7,198 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$971 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability (37.5%) to a 33°C high in Kuala Lumpur on July 15 because short-range forecasts and July climatology converge on daily maxima of 31–33°C amid typical Southwest Monsoon conditions. Official model guidance and historical averages near 32°C support this narrow band, with 32°C and 34°C each near 22% reflecting minor forecast spread and afternoon convection risks that can suppress peaks. Recent observations from comparable early-July days, including a confirmed 32°C reading on July 7, reinforce the central tendency while underscoring low odds for extremes below 30°C or above 35°C given stable humidity and limited variability in the current pattern. Updated model runs ahead of the date remain the key catalyst for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$52,644End Date
Jul 15, 2026Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability (37.5%) to a 33°C high in Kuala Lumpur on July 15 because short-range forecasts and July climatology converge on daily maxima of 31–33°C amid typical Southwest Monsoon conditions. Official model guidance and historical averages near 32°C support this narrow band, with 32°C and 34°C each near 22% reflecting minor forecast spread and afternoon convection risks that can suppress peaks. Recent observations from comparable early-July days, including a confirmed 32°C reading on July 7, reinforce the central tendency while underscoring low odds for extremes below 30°C or above 35°C given stable humidity and limited variability in the current pattern. Updated model runs ahead of the date remain the key catalyst for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$52,644End Date
Jul 15, 2026Market Opened
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders assign the highest implied probability (37.5%) to a 33°C high in Kuala Lumpur on July 15 because short-range forecasts and July climatology converge on daily maxima of 31–33°C amid typical Southwest Monsoon conditions. Official model guidance and historical averages near 32°C support this narrow band, with 32°C and 34°C each near 22% reflecting minor forecast spread and afternoon convection risks that can suppress peaks. Recent observations from comparable early-July days, including a confirmed 32°C reading on July 7, reinforce the central tendency while underscoring low odds for extremes below 30°C or above 35°C given stable humidity and limited variability in the current pattern. Updated model runs ahead of the date remain the key catalyst for any shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions