Current weather forecasts from major models indicate a maximum temperature of 22°C in London on June 13 under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies, light winds, and minimal cloud cover, aligning closely with typical mid-June averages of 19–21°C. This supports the market's strong consensus at 22°C, as official Met Office observations are expected to match the predicted peak without significant deviation from seasonal norms or anomalous warming. Realistic challenges include last-minute forecast revisions from updated model runs showing cooler Atlantic airflow or localized variations at monitoring stations, though current data shows low uncertainty in this range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on June 13?
22°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$198,086 Vol.
$198,086 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$198,086 Vol.
$198,086 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current weather forecasts from major models indicate a maximum temperature of 22°C in London on June 13 under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies, light winds, and minimal cloud cover, aligning closely with typical mid-June averages of 19–21°C. This supports the market's strong consensus at 22°C, as official Met Office observations are expected to match the predicted peak without significant deviation from seasonal norms or anomalous warming. Realistic challenges include last-minute forecast revisions from updated model runs showing cooler Atlantic airflow or localized variations at monitoring stations, though current data shows low uncertainty in this range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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