Official Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts establish a 17°C daytime maximum for London on June 6, 2026, under unsettled post-May conditions featuring light rain, moderate south-westerly winds, and limited solar heating that suppressed further warming. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around this value, consistent with climatological norms for early June following the prior month’s heatwave. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 17°C outcome reflects this high-confidence guidance from authoritative sources, with minimal spread in observations and projections. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted rapid clearance of cloud cover or warmer air advection, though current data and model consensus make substantial deviation before resolution highly unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on June 6?
Highest temperature in London on June 6?
17°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$215,459 Vol.
$215,459 Vol.
Jun 6, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$215,459 Vol.
$215,459 Vol.
Jun 6, 2026
14°C or below
$12,238 Vol.
No
15°C
$23,950 Vol.
No
16°C
$64,690 Vol.
No
17°C
$42,508 Vol.
Yes
18°C
$26,931 Vol.
No
19°C
$20,868 Vol.
No
20°C
$10,511 Vol.
No
21°C
$5,929 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,393 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,468 Vol.
No
24°C or higher
$4,973 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts establish a 17°C daytime maximum for London on June 6, 2026, under unsettled post-May conditions featuring light rain, moderate south-westerly winds, and limited solar heating that suppressed further warming. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around this value, consistent with climatological norms for early June following the prior month’s heatwave. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 17°C outcome reflects this high-confidence guidance from authoritative sources, with minimal spread in observations and projections. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted rapid clearance of cloud cover or warmer air advection, though current data and model consensus make substantial deviation before resolution highly unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$215,459End Date
Jun 6, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts establish a 17°C daytime maximum for London on June 6, 2026, under unsettled post-May conditions featuring light rain, moderate south-westerly winds, and limited solar heating that suppressed further warming. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around this value, consistent with climatological norms for early June following the prior month’s heatwave. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 17°C outcome reflects this high-confidence guidance from authoritative sources, with minimal spread in observations and projections. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted rapid clearance of cloud cover or warmer air advection, though current data and model consensus make substantial deviation before resolution highly unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$215,459End Date
Jun 6, 2026Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts establish a 17°C daytime maximum for London on June 6, 2026, under unsettled post-May conditions featuring light rain, moderate south-westerly winds, and limited solar heating that suppressed further warming. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around this value, consistent with climatological norms for early June following the prior month’s heatwave. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 17°C outcome reflects this high-confidence guidance from authoritative sources, with minimal spread in observations and projections. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted rapid clearance of cloud cover or warmer air advection, though current data and model consensus make substantial deviation before resolution highly unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions