**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the resolution station, currently project a high near 72°F on June 24, 2026, with patchy morning fog giving way to mostly sunny conditions and light onshore flow.** This aligns with the market's heaviest positioning on the 70–71°F (38%) and 72–73°F (23.5%) brackets, reflecting traders' assessment of the latest model guidance and climatological patterns. Coastal Southern California in late June is typically influenced by the marine layer and prevailing westerly winds, which advect cooler, moister air from the Pacific and cap daytime heating—often described as "June Gloom." Recent observations reinforce this: the June 21 high at LAX reached only 71°F, and extended NWS point forecasts for the period show highs holding in the low 70s amid continued onshore flow. Historical averages for late June at coastal sites sit near 75–79°F, but persistent marine influence has kept readings below normal in the current pattern. Traders appear to assign low probability to significant warming (e.g., 74°F+) because model consensus and the short time horizon to resolution leave little room for rapid shifts absent a strong offshore flow or clear-out of the marine layer. Key upcoming data include the next NWS forecast updates and morning soundings that could refine the expected peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on June 24?
70-71°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$75,211 Vol.
$75,211 Vol.
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$75,211 Vol.
$75,211 Vol.
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 22, 2026, 10:04 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), the resolution station, currently project a high near 72°F on June 24, 2026, with patchy morning fog giving way to mostly sunny conditions and light onshore flow.** This aligns with the market's heaviest positioning on the 70–71°F (38%) and 72–73°F (23.5%) brackets, reflecting traders' assessment of the latest model guidance and climatological patterns. Coastal Southern California in late June is typically influenced by the marine layer and prevailing westerly winds, which advect cooler, moister air from the Pacific and cap daytime heating—often described as "June Gloom." Recent observations reinforce this: the June 21 high at LAX reached only 71°F, and extended NWS point forecasts for the period show highs holding in the low 70s amid continued onshore flow. Historical averages for late June at coastal sites sit near 75–79°F, but persistent marine influence has kept readings below normal in the current pattern. Traders appear to assign low probability to significant warming (e.g., 74°F+) because model consensus and the short time horizon to resolution leave little room for rapid shifts absent a strong offshore flow or clear-out of the marine layer. Key upcoming data include the next NWS forecast updates and morning soundings that could refine the expected peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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