Forecast models from major meteorological agencies project a daytime maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 22 under persistent high-pressure conditions that favor clear skies and strong solar heating. This aligns with observed temperatures reaching 31.3°C the prior day and seasonal warming patterns that have elevated late-May highs above the long-term average of roughly 25–28°C. The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for 32°C reflects high model consensus on minimal cloud cover or wind shifts that could suppress the peak. Only an unanticipated influx of cooler Atlantic air or increased convective activity could realistically push readings outside this narrow range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Madrid on May 22?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 22?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$101,541 交易量
$101,541 交易量
2026-05-22
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$101,541 交易量
$101,541 交易量
2026-05-22
27°C or below
$1,619 交易量
No
28°C
$1,993 交易量
No
29°C
$1,369 交易量
No
30°C
$6,335 交易量
No
31°C
$18,291 交易量
No
32°C
$19,916 交易量
Yes
33°C
$25,653 交易量
No
34°C
$9,487 交易量
No
35°C
$7,269 交易量
No
36°C
$5,686 交易量
No
37°C or higher
$3,924 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from major meteorological agencies project a daytime maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 22 under persistent high-pressure conditions that favor clear skies and strong solar heating. This aligns with observed temperatures reaching 31.3°C the prior day and seasonal warming patterns that have elevated late-May highs above the long-term average of roughly 25–28°C. The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for 32°C reflects high model consensus on minimal cloud cover or wind shifts that could suppress the peak. Only an unanticipated influx of cooler Atlantic air or increased convective activity could realistically push readings outside this narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 20, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
交易量
$101,541結束日期
2026-05-22市場開放時間
May 20, 2026, 12:36 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from major meteorological agencies project a daytime maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 22 under persistent high-pressure conditions that favor clear skies and strong solar heating. This aligns with observed temperatures reaching 31.3°C the prior day and seasonal warming patterns that have elevated late-May highs above the long-term average of roughly 25–28°C. The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for 32°C reflects high model consensus on minimal cloud cover or wind shifts that could suppress the peak. Only an unanticipated influx of cooler Atlantic air or increased convective activity could realistically push readings outside this narrow range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$101,541結束日期
2026-05-22市場開放時間
May 20, 2026, 12:36 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Forecast models from major meteorological agencies project a daytime maximum of 32°C in Madrid on May 22 under persistent high-pressure conditions that favor clear skies and strong solar heating. This aligns with observed temperatures reaching 31.3°C the prior day and seasonal warming patterns that have elevated late-May highs above the long-term average of roughly 25–28°C. The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for 32°C reflects high model consensus on minimal cloud cover or wind shifts that could suppress the peak. Only an unanticipated influx of cooler Atlantic air or increased convective activity could realistically push readings outside this narrow range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions