Strong consensus around 33°C as Manila's high on June 11 stems from PAGASA's official forecast of 25–33°C under partly cloudy skies amid the southwest monsoon's early influence, with consistent numerical model support showing minimal deviation. This aligns with climatological June norms near 32°C daytime maxima and current conditions featuring moderate humidity and a 40% rain probability that limits extreme heating. Traders assign near-certainty because real-time observations and short-range guidance have stabilized around this value. A realistic shift could occur only from unexpected localized convection, station-specific measurement timing, or last-minute model adjustments exceeding 1°C, though such changes appear unlikely given the day's advanced stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on June 11?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 11?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$29,241 Vol.
$29,241 Vol.
Jun 11, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$29,241 Vol.
$29,241 Vol.
Jun 11, 2026
28°C or below
$372 Vol.
No
29°C
$537 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,045 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,158 Vol.
No
32°C
$3,496 Vol.
No
33°C
$6,588 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$4,105 Vol.
No
35°C
$3,436 Vol.
No
36°C
$3,785 Vol.
No
37°C
$1,201 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$517 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong consensus around 33°C as Manila's high on June 11 stems from PAGASA's official forecast of 25–33°C under partly cloudy skies amid the southwest monsoon's early influence, with consistent numerical model support showing minimal deviation. This aligns with climatological June norms near 32°C daytime maxima and current conditions featuring moderate humidity and a 40% rain probability that limits extreme heating. Traders assign near-certainty because real-time observations and short-range guidance have stabilized around this value. A realistic shift could occur only from unexpected localized convection, station-specific measurement timing, or last-minute model adjustments exceeding 1°C, though such changes appear unlikely given the day's advanced stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$29,241End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong consensus around 33°C as Manila's high on June 11 stems from PAGASA's official forecast of 25–33°C under partly cloudy skies amid the southwest monsoon's early influence, with consistent numerical model support showing minimal deviation. This aligns with climatological June norms near 32°C daytime maxima and current conditions featuring moderate humidity and a 40% rain probability that limits extreme heating. Traders assign near-certainty because real-time observations and short-range guidance have stabilized around this value. A realistic shift could occur only from unexpected localized convection, station-specific measurement timing, or last-minute model adjustments exceeding 1°C, though such changes appear unlikely given the day's advanced stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,241End Date
Jun 11, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Strong consensus around 33°C as Manila's high on June 11 stems from PAGASA's official forecast of 25–33°C under partly cloudy skies amid the southwest monsoon's early influence, with consistent numerical model support showing minimal deviation. This aligns with climatological June norms near 32°C daytime maxima and current conditions featuring moderate humidity and a 40% rain probability that limits extreme heating. Traders assign near-certainty because real-time observations and short-range guidance have stabilized around this value. A realistic shift could occur only from unexpected localized convection, station-specific measurement timing, or last-minute model adjustments exceeding 1°C, though such changes appear unlikely given the day's advanced stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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