PAGASA's official forecast for Metro Manila on June 12 anchors trader consensus at a 34°C high, reflecting model consensus on strong daytime insolation under partly cloudy skies before typical afternoon convection develops amid the southwest monsoon. June climatology in the region supports peak temperatures in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius when humidity and light winds allow surface heating, consistent with recent sub-seasonal outlooks showing slightly warmer-than-average conditions over Luzon. This skin-in-the-game alignment leaves little room for alternatives, though an earlier or more intense rain event could suppress the daily maximum by limiting solar input or enhancing evaporative cooling. Updated model runs and real-time observations near peak heating hours remain the key near-term variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on June 12?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 12?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$33,152 Vol.
$33,152 Vol.
Jun 12, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$33,152 Vol.
$33,152 Vol.
Jun 12, 2026
27°C or below
$1,689 Vol.
No
28°C
$917 Vol.
No
29°C
$900 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,225 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,306 Vol.
No
32°C
$3,170 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,216 Vol.
No
34°C
$6,795 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$5,390 Vol.
No
36°C
$3,190 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$1,355 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's official forecast for Metro Manila on June 12 anchors trader consensus at a 34°C high, reflecting model consensus on strong daytime insolation under partly cloudy skies before typical afternoon convection develops amid the southwest monsoon. June climatology in the region supports peak temperatures in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius when humidity and light winds allow surface heating, consistent with recent sub-seasonal outlooks showing slightly warmer-than-average conditions over Luzon. This skin-in-the-game alignment leaves little room for alternatives, though an earlier or more intense rain event could suppress the daily maximum by limiting solar input or enhancing evaporative cooling. Updated model runs and real-time observations near peak heating hours remain the key near-term variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$33,152End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA's official forecast for Metro Manila on June 12 anchors trader consensus at a 34°C high, reflecting model consensus on strong daytime insolation under partly cloudy skies before typical afternoon convection develops amid the southwest monsoon. June climatology in the region supports peak temperatures in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius when humidity and light winds allow surface heating, consistent with recent sub-seasonal outlooks showing slightly warmer-than-average conditions over Luzon. This skin-in-the-game alignment leaves little room for alternatives, though an earlier or more intense rain event could suppress the daily maximum by limiting solar input or enhancing evaporative cooling. Updated model runs and real-time observations near peak heating hours remain the key near-term variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,152End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
PAGASA's official forecast for Metro Manila on June 12 anchors trader consensus at a 34°C high, reflecting model consensus on strong daytime insolation under partly cloudy skies before typical afternoon convection develops amid the southwest monsoon. June climatology in the region supports peak temperatures in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius when humidity and light winds allow surface heating, consistent with recent sub-seasonal outlooks showing slightly warmer-than-average conditions over Luzon. This skin-in-the-game alignment leaves little room for alternatives, though an earlier or more intense rain event could suppress the daily maximum by limiting solar input or enhancing evaporative cooling. Updated model runs and real-time observations near peak heating hours remain the key near-term variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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