Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 23°C or higher as Mexico City's highest temperature today at Benito Juárez International Airport, driven by real-time observational data showing midday readings already exceeding 30°C under partly cloudy skies with light ESE winds. Forecasts from major models align on afternoon highs near 29–30°C (84–86°F), well above the April climatological average of 25–27°C, reflecting persistent dry-season warmth amplified by high-altitude solar heating. This near-certainty stems from confirmed airport measurements, leaving negligible room for lower outcomes barring an unprecedented data revision from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional—highly unlikely given consistent reporting across NOAA-aligned sources. Final tallies expected by evening local time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 27?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 27?
23°C or higher 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$63,700 Vol.
$63,700 Vol.
Apr 27, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
Yes
23°C or higher 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$63,700 Vol.
$63,700 Vol.
Apr 27, 2026
13°C or below
$4,954 Vol.
No
14°C
$4,222 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,979 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,792 Vol.
No
17°C
$3,834 Vol.
No
18°C
$6,434 Vol.
No
19°C
$6,685 Vol.
No
20°C
$6,003 Vol.
No
21°C
$5,236 Vol.
No
22°C
$12,149 Vol.
No
23°C or higher
$10,413 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 23°C or higher as Mexico City's highest temperature today at Benito Juárez International Airport, driven by real-time observational data showing midday readings already exceeding 30°C under partly cloudy skies with light ESE winds. Forecasts from major models align on afternoon highs near 29–30°C (84–86°F), well above the April climatological average of 25–27°C, reflecting persistent dry-season warmth amplified by high-altitude solar heating. This near-certainty stems from confirmed airport measurements, leaving negligible room for lower outcomes barring an unprecedented data revision from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional—highly unlikely given consistent reporting across NOAA-aligned sources. Final tallies expected by evening local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 25, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volume
$63,700End Date
Apr 27, 2026Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 23°C or higher as Mexico City's highest temperature today at Benito Juárez International Airport, driven by real-time observational data showing midday readings already exceeding 30°C under partly cloudy skies with light ESE winds. Forecasts from major models align on afternoon highs near 29–30°C (84–86°F), well above the April climatological average of 25–27°C, reflecting persistent dry-season warmth amplified by high-altitude solar heating. This near-certainty stems from confirmed airport measurements, leaving negligible room for lower outcomes barring an unprecedented data revision from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional—highly unlikely given consistent reporting across NOAA-aligned sources. Final tallies expected by evening local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$63,700End Date
Apr 27, 2026Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 23°C or higher as Mexico City's highest temperature today at Benito Juárez International Airport, driven by real-time observational data showing midday readings already exceeding 30°C under partly cloudy skies with light ESE winds. Forecasts from major models align on afternoon highs near 29–30°C (84–86°F), well above the April climatological average of 25–27°C, reflecting persistent dry-season warmth amplified by high-altitude solar heating. This near-certainty stems from confirmed airport measurements, leaving negligible room for lower outcomes barring an unprecedented data revision from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional—highly unlikely given consistent reporting across NOAA-aligned sources. Final tallies expected by evening local time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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