Mexico City's high-altitude location (approximately 2,240 meters) and mid-summer rainy season pattern keep daytime maxima moderate, with July averages near 24–25°C and frequent afternoon convection limiting peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Current forecast guidance for July 25 points to highs of 24–27°C depending on the exact timing and intensity of showers, with model consensus favoring the 26–27°C range amid typical variability in convective timing and boundary-layer moisture. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow spread, as small differences in solar insolation or steering winds could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C while ruling out extremes outside historical climatology. Updated runs from regional models will refine resolution criteria ahead of the close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on July 25?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on July 25?
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$18,063 Vol.
$18,063 Vol.
Jul 25, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$18,063 Vol.
$18,063 Vol.
Jul 25, 2026
23°C or below
$621 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,222 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,635 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,577 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,072 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$2,603 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,191 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,022 Vol.
No
31°C
$466 Vol.
No
32°C
$430 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$225 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high-altitude location (approximately 2,240 meters) and mid-summer rainy season pattern keep daytime maxima moderate, with July averages near 24–25°C and frequent afternoon convection limiting peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Current forecast guidance for July 25 points to highs of 24–27°C depending on the exact timing and intensity of showers, with model consensus favoring the 26–27°C range amid typical variability in convective timing and boundary-layer moisture. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow spread, as small differences in solar insolation or steering winds could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C while ruling out extremes outside historical climatology. Updated runs from regional models will refine resolution criteria ahead of the close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$18,063End Date
Jul 25, 2026Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high-altitude location (approximately 2,240 meters) and mid-summer rainy season pattern keep daytime maxima moderate, with July averages near 24–25°C and frequent afternoon convection limiting peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Current forecast guidance for July 25 points to highs of 24–27°C depending on the exact timing and intensity of showers, with model consensus favoring the 26–27°C range amid typical variability in convective timing and boundary-layer moisture. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow spread, as small differences in solar insolation or steering winds could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C while ruling out extremes outside historical climatology. Updated runs from regional models will refine resolution criteria ahead of the close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,063End Date
Jul 25, 2026Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Mexico City's high-altitude location (approximately 2,240 meters) and mid-summer rainy season pattern keep daytime maxima moderate, with July averages near 24–25°C and frequent afternoon convection limiting peaks through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Current forecast guidance for July 25 points to highs of 24–27°C depending on the exact timing and intensity of showers, with model consensus favoring the 26–27°C range amid typical variability in convective timing and boundary-layer moisture. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow spread, as small differences in solar insolation or steering winds could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C while ruling out extremes outside historical climatology. Updated runs from regional models will refine resolution criteria ahead of the close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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