Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by BBC and AccuWeather point to a June 23 high in Mexico City near 23–25°C amid scattered showers and moderate northeasterly flow, aligning with the closely matched 25°C and 26°C market leads. Mexico City’s 2,240 m elevation and urban heat-island effects typically cap daytime maxima during the onset of the rainy season, when increased cloud cover and afternoon convection limit solar heating relative to drier May conditions. An active El Niño advisory, with strengthening equatorial Pacific anomalies noted by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center on June 11, provides broader seasonal context that can modestly elevate baseline temperatures, yet short-term steering patterns and local moisture advection remain the dominant near-term variables. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine probabilities between the 24–26°C cluster.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on June 23?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 23?
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$24,438 Vol.
$24,438 Vol.
Jun 23, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$24,438 Vol.
$24,438 Vol.
Jun 23, 2026
20°C or below
$297 Vol.
No
21°C
$6,184 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,452 Vol.
No
23°C
$3,306 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,402 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$2,251 Vol.
No
26°C
$4,076 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,542 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,217 Vol.
No
29°C
$442 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$268 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by BBC and AccuWeather point to a June 23 high in Mexico City near 23–25°C amid scattered showers and moderate northeasterly flow, aligning with the closely matched 25°C and 26°C market leads. Mexico City’s 2,240 m elevation and urban heat-island effects typically cap daytime maxima during the onset of the rainy season, when increased cloud cover and afternoon convection limit solar heating relative to drier May conditions. An active El Niño advisory, with strengthening equatorial Pacific anomalies noted by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center on June 11, provides broader seasonal context that can modestly elevate baseline temperatures, yet short-term steering patterns and local moisture advection remain the dominant near-term variables. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine probabilities between the 24–26°C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 21, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$24,438End Date
Jun 23, 2026Market Opened
Jun 21, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by BBC and AccuWeather point to a June 23 high in Mexico City near 23–25°C amid scattered showers and moderate northeasterly flow, aligning with the closely matched 25°C and 26°C market leads. Mexico City’s 2,240 m elevation and urban heat-island effects typically cap daytime maxima during the onset of the rainy season, when increased cloud cover and afternoon convection limit solar heating relative to drier May conditions. An active El Niño advisory, with strengthening equatorial Pacific anomalies noted by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center on June 11, provides broader seasonal context that can modestly elevate baseline temperatures, yet short-term steering patterns and local moisture advection remain the dominant near-term variables. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine probabilities between the 24–26°C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,438End Date
Jun 23, 2026Market Opened
Jun 21, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by BBC and AccuWeather point to a June 23 high in Mexico City near 23–25°C amid scattered showers and moderate northeasterly flow, aligning with the closely matched 25°C and 26°C market leads. Mexico City’s 2,240 m elevation and urban heat-island effects typically cap daytime maxima during the onset of the rainy season, when increased cloud cover and afternoon convection limit solar heating relative to drier May conditions. An active El Niño advisory, with strengthening equatorial Pacific anomalies noted by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center on June 11, provides broader seasonal context that can modestly elevate baseline temperatures, yet short-term steering patterns and local moisture advection remain the dominant near-term variables. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine probabilities between the 24–26°C cluster.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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