Official observational data from ARPA Lombardia stations and Milano Linate Airport confirm Milan's highest temperature on April 15 peaked at 22°C during early afternoon, under partly sunny skies with light southerly winds and mild spring air masses. Pre-event forecasts from ECMWF and local models had converged on 18-22°C maxima, aligning with recent mild weather patterns above the April climatological average of 17°C. Trader consensus at nearly 100% on 22°C reflects this verified measurement against market criteria at key stations like Malpensa, with negligible 0.1% on 23°C or higher. Realistic challenges would require rare post-processing revisions from official bulletins, unlikely given consistent hourly records.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on April 15?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 15?
22°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$122,218 Vol.
$122,218 Vol.
Apr 15, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$122,218 Vol.
$122,218 Vol.
Apr 15, 2026
13°C or below
$6,363 Vol.
No
14°C
$3,734 Vol.
No
15°C
$3,862 Vol.
No
16°C
$2,664 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,889 Vol.
No
18°C
$10,643 Vol.
No
19°C
$10,860 Vol.
No
20°C
$21,749 Vol.
No
21°C
$9,769 Vol.
No
22°C
$16,987 Vol.
Yes
23°C or higher
$32,697 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from ARPA Lombardia stations and Milano Linate Airport confirm Milan's highest temperature on April 15 peaked at 22°C during early afternoon, under partly sunny skies with light southerly winds and mild spring air masses. Pre-event forecasts from ECMWF and local models had converged on 18-22°C maxima, aligning with recent mild weather patterns above the April climatological average of 17°C. Trader consensus at nearly 100% on 22°C reflects this verified measurement against market criteria at key stations like Malpensa, with negligible 0.1% on 23°C or higher. Realistic challenges would require rare post-processing revisions from official bulletins, unlikely given consistent hourly records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Volume
$122,218End Date
Apr 15, 2026Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:17 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from ARPA Lombardia stations and Milano Linate Airport confirm Milan's highest temperature on April 15 peaked at 22°C during early afternoon, under partly sunny skies with light southerly winds and mild spring air masses. Pre-event forecasts from ECMWF and local models had converged on 18-22°C maxima, aligning with recent mild weather patterns above the April climatological average of 17°C. Trader consensus at nearly 100% on 22°C reflects this verified measurement against market criteria at key stations like Malpensa, with negligible 0.1% on 23°C or higher. Realistic challenges would require rare post-processing revisions from official bulletins, unlikely given consistent hourly records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$122,218End Date
Apr 15, 2026Market Opened
Apr 13, 2026, 12:17 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observational data from ARPA Lombardia stations and Milano Linate Airport confirm Milan's highest temperature on April 15 peaked at 22°C during early afternoon, under partly sunny skies with light southerly winds and mild spring air masses. Pre-event forecasts from ECMWF and local models had converged on 18-22°C maxima, aligning with recent mild weather patterns above the April climatological average of 17°C. Trader consensus at nearly 100% on 22°C reflects this verified measurement against market criteria at key stations like Malpensa, with negligible 0.1% on 23°C or higher. Realistic challenges would require rare post-processing revisions from official bulletins, unlikely given consistent hourly records.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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