Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles place Milan's June 19 maximum near the 33–34 °C threshold, with the narrow market spread reflecting modest model spread in boundary-layer heating and low-level advection across the Po Valley. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, downslope warming from the Alps, and the strength of the subtropical ridge will determine whether daytime insolation pushes the peak 1 °C higher or allows slightly cooler marine-influenced air to moderate temperatures. Historical climatology shows mid-June highs averaging 26–28 °C, so the current warmer pattern stems from persistent high pressure and above-average 850 hPa temperatures; updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System, expected overnight, will likely refine the exact value ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on June 19?
Highest temperature in Milan on June 19?
34°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$65,962 Vol.
$65,962 Vol.
Jun 19, 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$65,962 Vol.
$65,962 Vol.
Jun 19, 2026
30°C or below
$846 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,157 Vol.
No
32°C
$10,456 Vol.
No
33°C
$14,821 Vol.
No
34°C
$10,699 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$8,809 Vol.
No
36°C
$8,424 Vol.
No
37°C
$4,583 Vol.
No
38°C
$2,977 Vol.
No
39°C
$1,166 Vol.
No
40°C or higher
$1,023 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles place Milan's June 19 maximum near the 33–34 °C threshold, with the narrow market spread reflecting modest model spread in boundary-layer heating and low-level advection across the Po Valley. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, downslope warming from the Alps, and the strength of the subtropical ridge will determine whether daytime insolation pushes the peak 1 °C higher or allows slightly cooler marine-influenced air to moderate temperatures. Historical climatology shows mid-June highs averaging 26–28 °C, so the current warmer pattern stems from persistent high pressure and above-average 850 hPa temperatures; updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System, expected overnight, will likely refine the exact value ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 17, 2026, 2:02 AM ET
Volume
$65,962End Date
Jun 19, 2026Market Opened
Jun 17, 2026, 2:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles place Milan's June 19 maximum near the 33–34 °C threshold, with the narrow market spread reflecting modest model spread in boundary-layer heating and low-level advection across the Po Valley. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, downslope warming from the Alps, and the strength of the subtropical ridge will determine whether daytime insolation pushes the peak 1 °C higher or allows slightly cooler marine-influenced air to moderate temperatures. Historical climatology shows mid-June highs averaging 26–28 °C, so the current warmer pattern stems from persistent high pressure and above-average 850 hPa temperatures; updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System, expected overnight, will likely refine the exact value ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$65,962End Date
Jun 19, 2026Market Opened
Jun 17, 2026, 2:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles place Milan's June 19 maximum near the 33–34 °C threshold, with the narrow market spread reflecting modest model spread in boundary-layer heating and low-level advection across the Po Valley. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, downslope warming from the Alps, and the strength of the subtropical ridge will determine whether daytime insolation pushes the peak 1 °C higher or allows slightly cooler marine-influenced air to moderate temperatures. Historical climatology shows mid-June highs averaging 26–28 °C, so the current warmer pattern stems from persistent high pressure and above-average 850 hPa temperatures; updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System, expected overnight, will likely refine the exact value ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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