**Trader consensus on the Moscow highest-temperature market has locked in at 19°C (100.0% implied probability) because official observations from the primary Moscow weather station recorded a daily maximum of exactly 19°C on June 17, 2026.** Current conditions featured partly cloudy skies with light winds under a modest high-pressure influence, allowing surface temperatures to peak near this value without significant diurnal heating or advection of warmer air. Numerical weather models (including consensus runs from global ensembles) had consistently projected highs of 17–21°C, and the observed peak aligned precisely with the 19°C threshold used for market resolution. Realistic challenges to this outcome remain limited to post-hoc data revisions by the reporting agency or disputes over station selection, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary readings are confirmed. No major model shifts or unforecasted mesoscale features materialized to push readings higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on June 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 17?
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$70,555 Vol.
$70,555 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$70,555 Vol.
$70,555 Vol.
Jun 17, 2026
13°C or below
$11,460 Vol.
No
14°C
$3,783 Vol.
No
15°C
$5,061 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,911 Vol.
No
17°C
$7,150 Vol.
No
18°C
$12,039 Vol.
No
19°C
$14,306 Vol.
Yes
20°C
$7,744 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,219 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,983 Vol.
No
23°C or higher
$2,899 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Moscow highest-temperature market has locked in at 19°C (100.0% implied probability) because official observations from the primary Moscow weather station recorded a daily maximum of exactly 19°C on June 17, 2026.**
Current conditions featured partly cloudy skies with light winds under a modest high-pressure influence, allowing surface temperatures to peak near this value without significant diurnal heating or advection of warmer air. Numerical weather models (including consensus runs from global ensembles) had consistently projected highs of 17–21°C, and the observed peak aligned precisely with the 19°C threshold used for market resolution.
Realistic challenges to this outcome remain limited to post-hoc data revisions by the reporting agency or disputes over station selection, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary readings are confirmed. No major model shifts or unforecasted mesoscale features materialized to push readings higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 15, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Volume
$70,555End Date
Jun 17, 2026Market Opened
Jun 15, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Moscow highest-temperature market has locked in at 19°C (100.0% implied probability) because official observations from the primary Moscow weather station recorded a daily maximum of exactly 19°C on June 17, 2026.**
Current conditions featured partly cloudy skies with light winds under a modest high-pressure influence, allowing surface temperatures to peak near this value without significant diurnal heating or advection of warmer air. Numerical weather models (including consensus runs from global ensembles) had consistently projected highs of 17–21°C, and the observed peak aligned precisely with the 19°C threshold used for market resolution.
Realistic challenges to this outcome remain limited to post-hoc data revisions by the reporting agency or disputes over station selection, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary readings are confirmed. No major model shifts or unforecasted mesoscale features materialized to push readings higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$70,555End Date
Jun 17, 2026Market Opened
Jun 15, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Trader consensus on the Moscow highest-temperature market has locked in at 19°C (100.0% implied probability) because official observations from the primary Moscow weather station recorded a daily maximum of exactly 19°C on June 17, 2026.** Current conditions featured partly cloudy skies with light winds under a modest high-pressure influence, allowing surface temperatures to peak near this value without significant diurnal heating or advection of warmer air. Numerical weather models (including consensus runs from global ensembles) had consistently projected highs of 17–21°C, and the observed peak aligned precisely with the 19°C threshold used for market resolution. Realistic challenges to this outcome remain limited to post-hoc data revisions by the reporting agency or disputes over station selection, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary readings are confirmed. No major model shifts or unforecasted mesoscale features materialized to push readings higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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