Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow on June 18 indicate a daytime maximum near 15–16°C under a cool, moist air mass with periods of cloud cover and showers, aligning with the market's leading contracts at those levels. Numerical weather prediction models show limited diurnal warming due to northerly flow and precipitation, keeping highs below the early-June climatological average of roughly 20°C. Traders have priced modest upside risk into 17°C and 18°C outcomes based on potential model shifts or clearer skies, while lower probabilities reflect the low likelihood of significant warming or colder anomalies given current observational data and ensemble guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on June 18?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 18?
16°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$44,811 Vol.
$44,811 Vol.
Jun 18, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$44,811 Vol.
$44,811 Vol.
Jun 18, 2026
12°C or below
$852 Vol.
No
13°C
$1,727 Vol.
No
14°C
$7,311 Vol.
No
15°C
$8,567 Vol.
No
16°C
$5,883 Vol.
Yes
17°C
$4,867 Vol.
No
18°C
$4,058 Vol.
No
19°C
$3,533 Vol.
No
20°C
$3,766 Vol.
No
21°C
$2,208 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$2,039 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow on June 18 indicate a daytime maximum near 15–16°C under a cool, moist air mass with periods of cloud cover and showers, aligning with the market's leading contracts at those levels. Numerical weather prediction models show limited diurnal warming due to northerly flow and precipitation, keeping highs below the early-June climatological average of roughly 20°C. Traders have priced modest upside risk into 17°C and 18°C outcomes based on potential model shifts or clearer skies, while lower probabilities reflect the low likelihood of significant warming or colder anomalies given current observational data and ensemble guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 16, 2026, 1:15 AM ET
Volume
$44,811End Date
Jun 18, 2026Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 1:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow on June 18 indicate a daytime maximum near 15–16°C under a cool, moist air mass with periods of cloud cover and showers, aligning with the market's leading contracts at those levels. Numerical weather prediction models show limited diurnal warming due to northerly flow and precipitation, keeping highs below the early-June climatological average of roughly 20°C. Traders have priced modest upside risk into 17°C and 18°C outcomes based on potential model shifts or clearer skies, while lower probabilities reflect the low likelihood of significant warming or colder anomalies given current observational data and ensemble guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$44,811End Date
Jun 18, 2026Market Opened
Jun 16, 2026, 1:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow on June 18 indicate a daytime maximum near 15–16°C under a cool, moist air mass with periods of cloud cover and showers, aligning with the market's leading contracts at those levels. Numerical weather prediction models show limited diurnal warming due to northerly flow and precipitation, keeping highs below the early-June climatological average of roughly 20°C. Traders have priced modest upside risk into 17°C and 18°C outcomes based on potential model shifts or clearer skies, while lower probabilities reflect the low likelihood of significant warming or colder anomalies given current observational data and ensemble guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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