Current short-range ensemble forecasts from agencies including Russia's Hydrometeorological Center point to a Moscow maximum on June 25 most likely between 16–19 °C, with cloud cover, light winds, and possible scattered showers limiting daytime heating. Recent model runs show modest spread due to uncertainty in exact timing of a weak frontal passage and boundary-layer mixing, keeping probabilities clustered around these outcomes rather than warmer or cooler extremes. Historical June averages near 22 °C provide context, yet the near-term synoptic setup favors cooler-than-normal readings. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on June 25?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 25?
19°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$62,057 Vol.
$62,057 Vol.
Jun 25, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$62,057 Vol.
$62,057 Vol.
Jun 25, 2026
15°C or below
$3,666 Vol.
No
16°C
$7,208 Vol.
No
17°C
$12,692 Vol.
No
18°C
$13,833 Vol.
No
19°C
$6,583 Vol.
Yes
20°C
$10,497 Vol.
No
21°C
$4,336 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,453 Vol.
No
23°C
$913 Vol.
No
24°C
$388 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$489 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts from agencies including Russia's Hydrometeorological Center point to a Moscow maximum on June 25 most likely between 16–19 °C, with cloud cover, light winds, and possible scattered showers limiting daytime heating. Recent model runs show modest spread due to uncertainty in exact timing of a weak frontal passage and boundary-layer mixing, keeping probabilities clustered around these outcomes rather than warmer or cooler extremes. Historical June averages near 22 °C provide context, yet the near-term synoptic setup favors cooler-than-normal readings. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 23, 2026, 1:06 AM ET
Volume
$62,057End Date
Jun 25, 2026Market Opened
Jun 23, 2026, 1:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts from agencies including Russia's Hydrometeorological Center point to a Moscow maximum on June 25 most likely between 16–19 °C, with cloud cover, light winds, and possible scattered showers limiting daytime heating. Recent model runs show modest spread due to uncertainty in exact timing of a weak frontal passage and boundary-layer mixing, keeping probabilities clustered around these outcomes rather than warmer or cooler extremes. Historical June averages near 22 °C provide context, yet the near-term synoptic setup favors cooler-than-normal readings. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$62,057End Date
Jun 25, 2026Market Opened
Jun 23, 2026, 1:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current short-range ensemble forecasts from agencies including Russia's Hydrometeorological Center point to a Moscow maximum on June 25 most likely between 16–19 °C, with cloud cover, light winds, and possible scattered showers limiting daytime heating. Recent model runs show modest spread due to uncertainty in exact timing of a weak frontal passage and boundary-layer mixing, keeping probabilities clustered around these outcomes rather than warmer or cooler extremes. Historical June averages near 22 °C provide context, yet the near-term synoptic setup favors cooler-than-normal readings. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the precise peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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