Trader consensus has converged on 24°C as the highest temperature in Moscow on June 6 due to consistent outputs from major numerical weather prediction models and real-time observations by Roshydromet, the Russian Federal Service for Hydrometeorology. These indicate a daytime maximum of precisely that value under stable high-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds, aligning with climatological norms for early June. Minor model spreads remain possible from localized urban heat island effects or slight timing shifts in peak insolation, but official verification thresholds and the market's resolution criteria make deviations to adjacent bins improbable without unexpected synoptic changes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on June 6?
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$44,505 Vol.
$44,505 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$44,505 Vol.
$44,505 Vol.
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 5, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus has converged on 24°C as the highest temperature in Moscow on June 6 due to consistent outputs from major numerical weather prediction models and real-time observations by Roshydromet, the Russian Federal Service for Hydrometeorology. These indicate a daytime maximum of precisely that value under stable high-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds, aligning with climatological norms for early June. Minor model spreads remain possible from localized urban heat island effects or slight timing shifts in peak insolation, but official verification thresholds and the market's resolution criteria make deviations to adjacent bins improbable without unexpected synoptic changes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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