Recent official forecasts from Russian meteorological agencies and international models indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum of exactly 21°C on May 23 under partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with the market's near-certain 21°C outcome. This positioning reflects verified observational trends and ensemble agreement on limited daytime heating amid springtime conditions near the seasonal average. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing that boosts insolation and pushes readings higher, or thicker cloud cover and precipitation suppressing the peak by 1–2°C, though current data make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on May 23?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 23?
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$35,605 Vol.
$35,605 Vol.
May 23, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$35,605 Vol.
$35,605 Vol.
May 23, 2026
16°C or below
$1,007 Vol.
No
17°C
$898 Vol.
No
18°C
$3,135 Vol.
No
19°C
$3,093 Vol.
No
20°C
$5,564 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,668 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$3,960 Vol.
No
23°C
$4,097 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,177 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,646 Vol.
No
26°C or higher
$4,359 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from Russian meteorological agencies and international models indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum of exactly 21°C on May 23 under partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with the market's near-certain 21°C outcome. This positioning reflects verified observational trends and ensemble agreement on limited daytime heating amid springtime conditions near the seasonal average. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing that boosts insolation and pushes readings higher, or thicker cloud cover and precipitation suppressing the peak by 1–2°C, though current data make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 21, 2026, 6:19 AM ET
Volume
$35,605End Date
May 23, 2026Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 6:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from Russian meteorological agencies and international models indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum of exactly 21°C on May 23 under partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with the market's near-certain 21°C outcome. This positioning reflects verified observational trends and ensemble agreement on limited daytime heating amid springtime conditions near the seasonal average. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing that boosts insolation and pushes readings higher, or thicker cloud cover and precipitation suppressing the peak by 1–2°C, though current data make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35,605End Date
May 23, 2026Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 6:19 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent official forecasts from Russian meteorological agencies and international models indicate Moscow will reach a daily maximum of exactly 21°C on May 23 under partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning with the market's near-certain 21°C outcome. This positioning reflects verified observational trends and ensemble agreement on limited daytime heating amid springtime conditions near the seasonal average. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing that boosts insolation and pushes readings higher, or thicker cloud cover and precipitation suppressing the peak by 1–2°C, though current data make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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