Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station confirm the highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 22°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Afternoon readings peaked around 21–22°C under clear skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure influence over Central Europe, matching pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS models that projected daily highs near 22°C amid mild spring conditions. Historical May averages for Munich hover around 18–20°C, making this a typical warm day without extremes. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare data revision from quality control audits could alter resolution, but multi-station verifications render this highly unlikely. Final DWD ratification expected soon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月9日慕尼黑最高温度?
22°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$118,175 交易量
$118,175 交易量
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
是
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或更高
否
22°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$118,175 交易量
$118,175 交易量
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
是
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 7, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station confirm the highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 22°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Afternoon readings peaked around 21–22°C under clear skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure influence over Central Europe, matching pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS models that projected daily highs near 22°C amid mild spring conditions. Historical May averages for Munich hover around 18–20°C, making this a typical warm day without extremes. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare data revision from quality control audits could alter resolution, but multi-station verifications render this highly unlikely. Final DWD ratification expected soon.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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