Current weather models and official forecasts from sources like the BBC and European meteorological services point to a Warsaw high temperature on June 18 centered near 23–24°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Mild westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and seasonal solar radiation support gradual daytime warming from overnight lows near 13–14°C, consistent with June climatology where daily maxima average 22–24°C. Minor model disagreements on peak timing and any late-day convective activity introduce the narrow spreads between 23°C and 25°C, with traders weighting real-time observational updates and ensemble runs as resolution nears. No major synoptic shifts have altered the outlook in recent days.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 18?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 18?
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$73,297 交易量
$73,297 交易量
2026-06-18
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$73,297 交易量
$73,297 交易量
2026-06-18
19°C or below
$473 交易量
No
20°C
$784 交易量
No
21°C
$4,115 交易量
No
22°C
$11,066 交易量
No
23°C
$23,383 交易量
No
24°C
$9,945 交易量
Yes
25°C
$6,427 交易量
No
26°C
$7,702 交易量
No
27°C
$4,557 交易量
No
28°C
$2,751 交易量
No
29°C or higher
$2,093 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current weather models and official forecasts from sources like the BBC and European meteorological services point to a Warsaw high temperature on June 18 centered near 23–24°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Mild westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and seasonal solar radiation support gradual daytime warming from overnight lows near 13–14°C, consistent with June climatology where daily maxima average 22–24°C. Minor model disagreements on peak timing and any late-day convective activity introduce the narrow spreads between 23°C and 25°C, with traders weighting real-time observational updates and ensemble runs as resolution nears. No major synoptic shifts have altered the outlook in recent days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ET
交易量
$73,297结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current weather models and official forecasts from sources like the BBC and European meteorological services point to a Warsaw high temperature on June 18 centered near 23–24°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Mild westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and seasonal solar radiation support gradual daytime warming from overnight lows near 13–14°C, consistent with June climatology where daily maxima average 22–24°C. Minor model disagreements on peak timing and any late-day convective activity introduce the narrow spreads between 23°C and 25°C, with traders weighting real-time observational updates and ensemble runs as resolution nears. No major synoptic shifts have altered the outlook in recent days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$73,297结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Current weather models and official forecasts from sources like the BBC and European meteorological services point to a Warsaw high temperature on June 18 centered near 23–24°C, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Mild westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and seasonal solar radiation support gradual daytime warming from overnight lows near 13–14°C, consistent with June climatology where daily maxima average 22–24°C. Minor model disagreements on peak timing and any late-day convective activity introduce the narrow spreads between 23°C and 25°C, with traders weighting real-time observational updates and ensemble runs as resolution nears. No major synoptic shifts have altered the outlook in recent days.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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