Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a high of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official long-range forecasts and ensemble model agreement from GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 32–34°C today under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and convection. April climatology reinforces this, with average highs of 32°C and daily maxima rarely dipping below 29°C amid low humidity for the season and calm winds. Morning observations already exceed 28°C, aligning with historical patterns of rapid diurnal heating in the urban heat island. Realistic challenges include unforeseen isolated thunderstorms or enhanced sea breeze onshore flow capping temperatures, though current atmospheric stability renders these low-probability events; monitor hourly updates from local meteorological stations through late afternoon for final confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on April 20?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 20?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$25,020 Vol.
$25,020 Vol.
Apr 20, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
Yes
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$25,020 Vol.
$25,020 Vol.
Apr 20, 2026
21°C or below
$698 Vol.
No
22°C
$760 Vol.
No
23°C
$708 Vol.
No
24°C
$745 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,595 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,855 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,197 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,251 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,762 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,684 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$4,766 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a high of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official long-range forecasts and ensemble model agreement from GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 32–34°C today under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and convection. April climatology reinforces this, with average highs of 32°C and daily maxima rarely dipping below 29°C amid low humidity for the season and calm winds. Morning observations already exceed 28°C, aligning with historical patterns of rapid diurnal heating in the urban heat island. Realistic challenges include unforeseen isolated thunderstorms or enhanced sea breeze onshore flow capping temperatures, though current atmospheric stability renders these low-probability events; monitor hourly updates from local meteorological stations through late afternoon for final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$25,020End Date
Apr 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a high of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official long-range forecasts and ensemble model agreement from GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 32–34°C today under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and convection. April climatology reinforces this, with average highs of 32°C and daily maxima rarely dipping below 29°C amid low humidity for the season and calm winds. Morning observations already exceed 28°C, aligning with historical patterns of rapid diurnal heating in the urban heat island. Realistic challenges include unforeseen isolated thunderstorms or enhanced sea breeze onshore flow capping temperatures, though current atmospheric stability renders these low-probability events; monitor hourly updates from local meteorological stations through late afternoon for final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$25,020End Date
Apr 20, 2026Market Opened
Apr 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a high of 31°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, driven by official long-range forecasts and ensemble model agreement from GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 32–34°C today under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressing clouds and convection. April climatology reinforces this, with average highs of 32°C and daily maxima rarely dipping below 29°C amid low humidity for the season and calm winds. Morning observations already exceed 28°C, aligning with historical patterns of rapid diurnal heating in the urban heat island. Realistic challenges include unforeseen isolated thunderstorms or enhanced sea breeze onshore flow capping temperatures, though current atmospheric stability renders these low-probability events; monitor hourly updates from local meteorological stations through late afternoon for final confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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