**Trader consensus for Panama City, Panama’s July 25 high temperature centers on 31–33 °C because climatological averages and short-range models place the daily maximum in that narrow band.** July is peak rainy-season conditions, with the Intertropical Convergence Zone driving frequent afternoon convection that limits peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and local models show expected highs of 29–31 °C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, keeping the most probable outcomes tightly clustered. The near-even split between 32 °C and 33 °C (30.5 % and 29.0 %) reflects uncertainty in the timing and intensity of any convective cells on the 25th; earlier or heavier rainfall would cap the maximum closer to 31 °C, while a later or weaker shower pattern could allow brief clearing and a push toward 33 °C. Lower-probability 34 °C+ outcomes would require unusually suppressed convection and stronger insolation, conditions not currently favored by guidance. Historical July maxima average near 30–31 °C, so market pricing aligns with both the seasonal baseline and the latest model consensus that modest variability around that mean is the most likely scenario.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on July 25?
Highest temperature in Panama City on July 25?
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$35,296 Vol.
$35,296 Vol.
Jul 25, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$35,296 Vol.
$35,296 Vol.
Jul 25, 2026
27°C or below
$1,034 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,115 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,405 Vol.
No
30°C
$7,252 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,172 Vol.
No
32°C
$9,529 Vol.
No
33°C
$6,727 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$2,534 Vol.
No
35°C
$511 Vol.
No
36°C
$506 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$510 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus for Panama City, Panama’s July 25 high temperature centers on 31–33 °C because climatological averages and short-range models place the daily maximum in that narrow band.** July is peak rainy-season conditions, with the Intertropical Convergence Zone driving frequent afternoon convection that limits peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and local models show expected highs of 29–31 °C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, keeping the most probable outcomes tightly clustered.
The near-even split between 32 °C and 33 °C (30.5 % and 29.0 %) reflects uncertainty in the timing and intensity of any convective cells on the 25th; earlier or heavier rainfall would cap the maximum closer to 31 °C, while a later or weaker shower pattern could allow brief clearing and a push toward 33 °C. Lower-probability 34 °C+ outcomes would require unusually suppressed convection and stronger insolation, conditions not currently favored by guidance. Historical July maxima average near 30–31 °C, so market pricing aligns with both the seasonal baseline and the latest model consensus that modest variability around that mean is the most likely scenario.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$35,296End Date
Jul 25, 2026Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus for Panama City, Panama’s July 25 high temperature centers on 31–33 °C because climatological averages and short-range models place the daily maximum in that narrow band.** July is peak rainy-season conditions, with the Intertropical Convergence Zone driving frequent afternoon convection that limits peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and local models show expected highs of 29–31 °C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, keeping the most probable outcomes tightly clustered.
The near-even split between 32 °C and 33 °C (30.5 % and 29.0 %) reflects uncertainty in the timing and intensity of any convective cells on the 25th; earlier or heavier rainfall would cap the maximum closer to 31 °C, while a later or weaker shower pattern could allow brief clearing and a push toward 33 °C. Lower-probability 34 °C+ outcomes would require unusually suppressed convection and stronger insolation, conditions not currently favored by guidance. Historical July maxima average near 30–31 °C, so market pricing aligns with both the seasonal baseline and the latest model consensus that modest variability around that mean is the most likely scenario.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35,296End Date
Jul 25, 2026Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Trader consensus for Panama City, Panama’s July 25 high temperature centers on 31–33 °C because climatological averages and short-range models place the daily maximum in that narrow band.** July is peak rainy-season conditions, with the Intertropical Convergence Zone driving frequent afternoon convection that limits peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Recent forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and local models show expected highs of 29–31 °C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, keeping the most probable outcomes tightly clustered. The near-even split between 32 °C and 33 °C (30.5 % and 29.0 %) reflects uncertainty in the timing and intensity of any convective cells on the 25th; earlier or heavier rainfall would cap the maximum closer to 31 °C, while a later or weaker shower pattern could allow brief clearing and a push toward 33 °C. Lower-probability 34 °C+ outcomes would require unusually suppressed convection and stronger insolation, conditions not currently favored by guidance. Historical July maxima average near 30–31 °C, so market pricing aligns with both the seasonal baseline and the latest model consensus that modest variability around that mean is the most likely scenario.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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