Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Panama City, Florida, places the July 8 maximum in the narrow 32–34 °C range, producing the near-even split between the 33 °C and 34 °C outcomes. Typical midsummer conditions—high humidity, light steering flow, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms—create modest day-to-day variability in peak temperature, with cloud timing and sea-breeze onset the main sources of forecast spread. El Niño conditions now strengthening across the equatorial Pacific add a slight background warming signal relative to historical July averages near 31–32 °C, while official resolution will rely on the highest verified reading from local observing stations. Updated model runs and the morning forecast discussion tomorrow will likely determine which of the two leading buckets captures the greatest probability mass.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on July 8?
Highest temperature in Panama City on July 8?
35°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$50,056 Vol.
$50,056 Vol.
Jul 8, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$50,056 Vol.
$50,056 Vol.
Jul 8, 2026
27°C or below
$1,744 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,887 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,898 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,692 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,834 Vol.
No
32°C
$3,709 Vol.
No
33°C
$7,724 Vol.
No
34°C
$17,228 Vol.
No
35°C
$5,065 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$3,547 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$2,728 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Panama City, Florida, places the July 8 maximum in the narrow 32–34 °C range, producing the near-even split between the 33 °C and 34 °C outcomes. Typical midsummer conditions—high humidity, light steering flow, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms—create modest day-to-day variability in peak temperature, with cloud timing and sea-breeze onset the main sources of forecast spread. El Niño conditions now strengthening across the equatorial Pacific add a slight background warming signal relative to historical July averages near 31–32 °C, while official resolution will rely on the highest verified reading from local observing stations. Updated model runs and the morning forecast discussion tomorrow will likely determine which of the two leading buckets captures the greatest probability mass.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 6, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Volume
$50,056End Date
Jul 8, 2026Market Opened
Jul 6, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Panama City, Florida, places the July 8 maximum in the narrow 32–34 °C range, producing the near-even split between the 33 °C and 34 °C outcomes. Typical midsummer conditions—high humidity, light steering flow, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms—create modest day-to-day variability in peak temperature, with cloud timing and sea-breeze onset the main sources of forecast spread. El Niño conditions now strengthening across the equatorial Pacific add a slight background warming signal relative to historical July averages near 31–32 °C, while official resolution will rely on the highest verified reading from local observing stations. Updated model runs and the morning forecast discussion tomorrow will likely determine which of the two leading buckets captures the greatest probability mass.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$50,056End Date
Jul 8, 2026Market Opened
Jul 6, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Panama City, Florida, places the July 8 maximum in the narrow 32–34 °C range, producing the near-even split between the 33 °C and 34 °C outcomes. Typical midsummer conditions—high humidity, light steering flow, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms—create modest day-to-day variability in peak temperature, with cloud timing and sea-breeze onset the main sources of forecast spread. El Niño conditions now strengthening across the equatorial Pacific add a slight background warming signal relative to historical July averages near 31–32 °C, while official resolution will rely on the highest verified reading from local observing stations. Updated model runs and the morning forecast discussion tomorrow will likely determine which of the two leading buckets captures the greatest probability mass.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions