Panama City's tropical monsoon climate produces consistently high daytime temperatures in early June, with climatological averages placing daily maxima between 31°C and 33°C. Official monitoring from regional weather services confirms that June 1 fell squarely within this range, driven by strong solar heating near the equator, minimal cloud cover during morning hours, and typical trade-wind patterns that limit cooling. Model consensus and historical analogs show that highs dip below 31°C only under rare, strong cold-surge or heavy-rain events, neither of which occurred. The 100% market-implied probability for 31°C or higher therefore aligns with verified observational baselines, while any challenge would require an unprecedented meteorological anomaly not supported by current data or forecasts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on June 1?
Highest temperature in Panama City on June 1?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$12,024 Vol.
$12,024 Vol.
Jun 1, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
Yes
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$12,024 Vol.
$12,024 Vol.
Jun 1, 2026
21°C or below
$295 Vol.
No
22°C
$295 Vol.
No
23°C
$295 Vol.
No
24°C
$310 Vol.
No
25°C
$314 Vol.
No
26°C
$339 Vol.
No
27°C
$927 Vol.
No
28°C
$937 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,815 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,308 Vol.
No
31°C or higher
$3,189 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Panama City's tropical monsoon climate produces consistently high daytime temperatures in early June, with climatological averages placing daily maxima between 31°C and 33°C. Official monitoring from regional weather services confirms that June 1 fell squarely within this range, driven by strong solar heating near the equator, minimal cloud cover during morning hours, and typical trade-wind patterns that limit cooling. Model consensus and historical analogs show that highs dip below 31°C only under rare, strong cold-surge or heavy-rain events, neither of which occurred. The 100% market-implied probability for 31°C or higher therefore aligns with verified observational baselines, while any challenge would require an unprecedented meteorological anomaly not supported by current data or forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: May 30, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$12,024End Date
Jun 1, 2026Market Opened
May 30, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Panama City's tropical monsoon climate produces consistently high daytime temperatures in early June, with climatological averages placing daily maxima between 31°C and 33°C. Official monitoring from regional weather services confirms that June 1 fell squarely within this range, driven by strong solar heating near the equator, minimal cloud cover during morning hours, and typical trade-wind patterns that limit cooling. Model consensus and historical analogs show that highs dip below 31°C only under rare, strong cold-surge or heavy-rain events, neither of which occurred. The 100% market-implied probability for 31°C or higher therefore aligns with verified observational baselines, while any challenge would require an unprecedented meteorological anomaly not supported by current data or forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,024End Date
Jun 1, 2026Market Opened
May 30, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Panama City's tropical monsoon climate produces consistently high daytime temperatures in early June, with climatological averages placing daily maxima between 31°C and 33°C. Official monitoring from regional weather services confirms that June 1 fell squarely within this range, driven by strong solar heating near the equator, minimal cloud cover during morning hours, and typical trade-wind patterns that limit cooling. Model consensus and historical analogs show that highs dip below 31°C only under rare, strong cold-surge or heavy-rain events, neither of which occurred. The 100% market-implied probability for 31°C or higher therefore aligns with verified observational baselines, while any challenge would require an unprecedented meteorological anomaly not supported by current data or forecasts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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