Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a heatwave peaking near the June solstice, with Paris highs projected at 36–38°C on June 21 under clear skies, light winds, and dry high-pressure conditions that maximize daytime solar heating. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day shifts in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer mixing, while the historical record high of 37.1°C sets a plausible ceiling. Minor divergences arise from potential thin afternoon cloud development or slight variations in wind direction that could trim or enhance the peak by 1–2°C at official stations. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Paris on June 21?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 21?
37°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$148,399 交易量
$148,399 交易量
2026-06-21
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$148,399 交易量
$148,399 交易量
2026-06-21
32°C or below
$4,970 交易量
No
33°C
$9,824 交易量
No
34°C
$15,666 交易量
No
35°C
$25,174 交易量
No
36°C
$20,567 交易量
No
37°C
$18,508 交易量
Yes
38°C
$22,326 交易量
No
39°C
$16,287 交易量
No
40°C
$9,097 交易量
No
41°C
$2,919 交易量
No
42°C or higher
$3,059 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a heatwave peaking near the June solstice, with Paris highs projected at 36–38°C on June 21 under clear skies, light winds, and dry high-pressure conditions that maximize daytime solar heating. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day shifts in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer mixing, while the historical record high of 37.1°C sets a plausible ceiling. Minor divergences arise from potential thin afternoon cloud development or slight variations in wind direction that could trim or enhance the peak by 1–2°C at official stations. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$148,399結束日期
2026-06-21市場開放時間
Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a heatwave peaking near the June solstice, with Paris highs projected at 36–38°C on June 21 under clear skies, light winds, and dry high-pressure conditions that maximize daytime solar heating. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day shifts in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer mixing, while the historical record high of 37.1°C sets a plausible ceiling. Minor divergences arise from potential thin afternoon cloud development or slight variations in wind direction that could trim or enhance the peak by 1–2°C at official stations. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$148,399結束日期
2026-06-21市場開放時間
Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a heatwave peaking near the June solstice, with Paris highs projected at 36–38°C on June 21 under clear skies, light winds, and dry high-pressure conditions that maximize daytime solar heating. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day shifts in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer mixing, while the historical record high of 37.1°C sets a plausible ceiling. Minor divergences arise from potential thin afternoon cloud development or slight variations in wind direction that could trim or enhance the peak by 1–2°C at official stations. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions