Recent forecasts from meteorological services project a high of 25–26°C in São Paulo on June 28, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light winds, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 25°C (20.5%) and 26°C (37.5%). June's subtropical winter climatology typically features daily maxima around 22–24°C, and recent observations show stable conditions without strong cold fronts or heat advection that could push extremes. Ensemble models exhibit modest spread around peak values due to minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and insolation, supporting the clustered probabilities near 25–27°C while limiting odds for 28°C or higher. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine resolution thresholds tied to official station maxima.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 28?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on June 28?
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$71,588 Vol.
$71,588 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$71,588 Vol.
$71,588 Vol.
Jun 28, 2026
20°C or below
$7,629 Vol.
No
21°C
$7,249 Vol.
No
22°C
$9,273 Vol.
No
23°C
$6,507 Vol.
No
24°C
$6,282 Vol.
No
25°C
$4,651 Vol.
No
26°C
$4,804 Vol.
No
27°C
$9,473 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$6,610 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,124 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$3,988 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological services project a high of 25–26°C in São Paulo on June 28, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light winds, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 25°C (20.5%) and 26°C (37.5%). June's subtropical winter climatology typically features daily maxima around 22–24°C, and recent observations show stable conditions without strong cold fronts or heat advection that could push extremes. Ensemble models exhibit modest spread around peak values due to minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and insolation, supporting the clustered probabilities near 25–27°C while limiting odds for 28°C or higher. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine resolution thresholds tied to official station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 26, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Volume
$71,588End Date
Jun 28, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 9:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological services project a high of 25–26°C in São Paulo on June 28, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light winds, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 25°C (20.5%) and 26°C (37.5%). June's subtropical winter climatology typically features daily maxima around 22–24°C, and recent observations show stable conditions without strong cold fronts or heat advection that could push extremes. Ensemble models exhibit modest spread around peak values due to minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and insolation, supporting the clustered probabilities near 25–27°C while limiting odds for 28°C or higher. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine resolution thresholds tied to official station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$71,588End Date
Jun 28, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 9:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts from meteorological services project a high of 25–26°C in São Paulo on June 28, 2026, under mostly sunny skies with light winds, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 25°C (20.5%) and 26°C (37.5%). June's subtropical winter climatology typically features daily maxima around 22–24°C, and recent observations show stable conditions without strong cold fronts or heat advection that could push extremes. Ensemble models exhibit modest spread around peak values due to minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and insolation, supporting the clustered probabilities near 25–27°C while limiting odds for 28°C or higher. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine resolution thresholds tied to official station maxima.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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