Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's temperature reached 19.5°C by 10:00 KST on April 26 under clear skies, with hourly forecasts projecting a peak of 24°C near 15:00 amid a high-pressure ridge and light westerly winds fostering strong daytime heating. This aligns with recent warm anomalies—prior days hit 26°C highs—exceeding late-April climatological norms of 18–19°C, driving unanimous trader consensus (100% implied probability) for 20°C or higher based on official station data from Seoul or Incheon International Airport. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen marine layer, sudden cloud cover, or cold front intrusion before afternoon peak, though model ensembles show high stability and no such signals. KMA updates expected hourly through evening resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on April 26?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 26?
20°C or higher 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$242,613 Vol.
$242,613 Vol.
Apr 26, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
Yes
20°C or higher 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$242,613 Vol.
$242,613 Vol.
Apr 26, 2026
10°C or below
$8,964 Vol.
No
11°C
$3,730 Vol.
No
12°C
$3,779 Vol.
No
13°C
$7,646 Vol.
No
14°C
$12,013 Vol.
No
15°C
$15,345 Vol.
No
16°C
$19,384 Vol.
No
17°C
$23,400 Vol.
No
18°C
$22,931 Vol.
No
19°C
$63,938 Vol.
No
20°C or higher
$61,484 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's temperature reached 19.5°C by 10:00 KST on April 26 under clear skies, with hourly forecasts projecting a peak of 24°C near 15:00 amid a high-pressure ridge and light westerly winds fostering strong daytime heating. This aligns with recent warm anomalies—prior days hit 26°C highs—exceeding late-April climatological norms of 18–19°C, driving unanimous trader consensus (100% implied probability) for 20°C or higher based on official station data from Seoul or Incheon International Airport. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen marine layer, sudden cloud cover, or cold front intrusion before afternoon peak, though model ensembles show high stability and no such signals. KMA updates expected hourly through evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$242,613End Date
Apr 26, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's temperature reached 19.5°C by 10:00 KST on April 26 under clear skies, with hourly forecasts projecting a peak of 24°C near 15:00 amid a high-pressure ridge and light westerly winds fostering strong daytime heating. This aligns with recent warm anomalies—prior days hit 26°C highs—exceeding late-April climatological norms of 18–19°C, driving unanimous trader consensus (100% implied probability) for 20°C or higher based on official station data from Seoul or Incheon International Airport. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen marine layer, sudden cloud cover, or cold front intrusion before afternoon peak, though model ensembles show high stability and no such signals. KMA updates expected hourly through evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$242,613End Date
Apr 26, 2026Market Opened
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's temperature reached 19.5°C by 10:00 KST on April 26 under clear skies, with hourly forecasts projecting a peak of 24°C near 15:00 amid a high-pressure ridge and light westerly winds fostering strong daytime heating. This aligns with recent warm anomalies—prior days hit 26°C highs—exceeding late-April climatological norms of 18–19°C, driving unanimous trader consensus (100% implied probability) for 20°C or higher based on official station data from Seoul or Incheon International Airport. Realistic challenges would require an unforeseen marine layer, sudden cloud cover, or cold front intrusion before afternoon peak, though model ensembles show high stability and no such signals. KMA updates expected hourly through evening resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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