**Singapore's highest temperature on June 26 hinges primarily on cloud cover and shower timing under the established Southwest Monsoon.** Official forecasts from Singapore's NEA and international models indicate daily maxima typically ranging 31–34°C, with the market's clustered probabilities around 30–33°C reflecting uncertainty in localized convective activity. Reduced cloudiness allows greater solar heating and potential peaks near 34–35°C, while afternoon thundery showers—common in the current regime—can suppress readings to 30–31°C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Historical June averages hover near 31.9°C, and recent below-average rainfall supports modestly elevated odds for the upper end of the distribution, though model consensus on exact convective timing remains limited two days ahead.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on June 26?
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$171,686 Vol.
$171,686 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$171,686 Vol.
$171,686 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Singapore's highest temperature on June 26 hinges primarily on cloud cover and shower timing under the established Southwest Monsoon.** Official forecasts from Singapore's NEA and international models indicate daily maxima typically ranging 31–34°C, with the market's clustered probabilities around 30–33°C reflecting uncertainty in localized convective activity. Reduced cloudiness allows greater solar heating and potential peaks near 34–35°C, while afternoon thundery showers—common in the current regime—can suppress readings to 30–31°C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Historical June averages hover near 31.9°C, and recent below-average rainfall supports modestly elevated odds for the upper end of the distribution, though model consensus on exact convective timing remains limited two days ahead.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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