Official National Environment Agency (NEA) observations from the Changi Climate Station confirm Singapore's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 31°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain implied probability amid inter-monsoon conditions featuring afternoon thundery showers and 38 mm of rainfall that suppressed solar heating and cloud-covered skies. Despite the fortnightly outlook forecasting 33–35°C daily maxima based on late April's heatwave (with 35.5°C peaks), widespread showers over the island—consistent with historical May patterns of above-average precipitation—capped intensities, as real-time monitoring showed only 32.9°C by late afternoon before cooling. Resolution hinges on finalized Changi data, with negligible revision risk barring rare measurement anomalies; NEA updates expected by mid-May.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on May 1?
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 1?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$139,133 Vol.
$139,133 Vol.
May 1, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$139,133 Vol.
$139,133 Vol.
May 1, 2026
25°C or below
$4,744 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,077 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,191 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,959 Vol.
No
29°C
$6,860 Vol.
No
30°C
$7,803 Vol.
No
31°C
$27,797 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$10,736 Vol.
No
33°C
$32,535 Vol.
No
34°C
$30,165 Vol.
No
35°C or higher
$12,266 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Environment Agency (NEA) observations from the Changi Climate Station confirm Singapore's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 31°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain implied probability amid inter-monsoon conditions featuring afternoon thundery showers and 38 mm of rainfall that suppressed solar heating and cloud-covered skies. Despite the fortnightly outlook forecasting 33–35°C daily maxima based on late April's heatwave (with 35.5°C peaks), widespread showers over the island—consistent with historical May patterns of above-average precipitation—capped intensities, as real-time monitoring showed only 32.9°C by late afternoon before cooling. Resolution hinges on finalized Changi data, with negligible revision risk barring rare measurement anomalies; NEA updates expected by mid-May.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 29, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$139,133End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Environment Agency (NEA) observations from the Changi Climate Station confirm Singapore's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 31°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain implied probability amid inter-monsoon conditions featuring afternoon thundery showers and 38 mm of rainfall that suppressed solar heating and cloud-covered skies. Despite the fortnightly outlook forecasting 33–35°C daily maxima based on late April's heatwave (with 35.5°C peaks), widespread showers over the island—consistent with historical May patterns of above-average precipitation—capped intensities, as real-time monitoring showed only 32.9°C by late afternoon before cooling. Resolution hinges on finalized Changi data, with negligible revision risk barring rare measurement anomalies; NEA updates expected by mid-May.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$139,133End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official National Environment Agency (NEA) observations from the Changi Climate Station confirm Singapore's highest temperature on May 1, 2026, peaked at 31°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain implied probability amid inter-monsoon conditions featuring afternoon thundery showers and 38 mm of rainfall that suppressed solar heating and cloud-covered skies. Despite the fortnightly outlook forecasting 33–35°C daily maxima based on late April's heatwave (with 35.5°C peaks), widespread showers over the island—consistent with historical May patterns of above-average precipitation—capped intensities, as real-time monitoring showed only 32.9°C by late afternoon before cooling. Resolution hinges on finalized Changi data, with negligible revision risk barring rare measurement anomalies; NEA updates expected by mid-May.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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