Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on 21°C as Taipei's highest temperature today, backed by Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data showing peak readings of 21°C at Songshan station amid persistent cloud cover and occasional showers from a lingering weather front. This cooler-than-average April day—historical highs typically 24–26°C—reflects suppressed solar insolation due to high humidity (80–90%) and northeasterly winds capping daytime heating at the forecasted 19–23°C range. Model consensus from CWA updates reinforces this, with no indications of convective clearing. A late-afternoon break in clouds enabling brief solar warming could challenge this to 22°C, but current trajectories and moisture-laden air make it improbable as resolution nears end-of-day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on April 25?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 25?
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$73,387 Vol.
$73,387 Vol.
Apr 25, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$73,387 Vol.
$73,387 Vol.
Apr 25, 2026
15°C or below
$577 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,839 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,110 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,341 Vol.
No
19°C
$4,065 Vol.
No
20°C
$7,751 Vol.
No
21°C
$24,179 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$5,958 Vol.
No
23°C
$8,735 Vol.
No
24°C
$7,198 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$10,636 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on 21°C as Taipei's highest temperature today, backed by Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data showing peak readings of 21°C at Songshan station amid persistent cloud cover and occasional showers from a lingering weather front. This cooler-than-average April day—historical highs typically 24–26°C—reflects suppressed solar insolation due to high humidity (80–90%) and northeasterly winds capping daytime heating at the forecasted 19–23°C range. Model consensus from CWA updates reinforces this, with no indications of convective clearing. A late-afternoon break in clouds enabling brief solar warming could challenge this to 22°C, but current trajectories and moisture-laden air make it improbable as resolution nears end-of-day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 23, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Volume
$73,387End Date
Apr 25, 2026Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 12:47 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on 21°C as Taipei's highest temperature today, backed by Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data showing peak readings of 21°C at Songshan station amid persistent cloud cover and occasional showers from a lingering weather front. This cooler-than-average April day—historical highs typically 24–26°C—reflects suppressed solar insolation due to high humidity (80–90%) and northeasterly winds capping daytime heating at the forecasted 19–23°C range. Model consensus from CWA updates reinforces this, with no indications of convective clearing. A late-afternoon break in clouds enabling brief solar warming could challenge this to 22°C, but current trajectories and moisture-laden air make it improbable as resolution nears end-of-day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$73,387End Date
Apr 25, 2026Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 12:47 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on 21°C as Taipei's highest temperature today, backed by Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data showing peak readings of 21°C at Songshan station amid persistent cloud cover and occasional showers from a lingering weather front. This cooler-than-average April day—historical highs typically 24–26°C—reflects suppressed solar insolation due to high humidity (80–90%) and northeasterly winds capping daytime heating at the forecasted 19–23°C range. Model consensus from CWA updates reinforces this, with no indications of convective clearing. A late-afternoon break in clouds enabling brief solar warming could challenge this to 22°C, but current trajectories and moisture-laden air make it improbable as resolution nears end-of-day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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